NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	7.3 [352]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +13.6%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	2.8 [166]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -23.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	0.00	11	69%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Shawn Kemp	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	13	54%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.08	0.01	9	39%	-0.16	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.10	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	22	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	12	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	26.6	16.8	25.2	3.4	36.5	135.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.4%

POR +16.1%

POR +23.3%

DAL -6.6%

DAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.5	104.3	95.7	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		101.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	15.2	14.2	13.4	14.4
DAL	17.6	20.1	15.8	14.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	74	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-5	18	13.7	17.0	-3.26	16.3	19.6	-3.34
Rod Strickland	43	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	13.5	15.1	-1.63	15.9	17.8	-1.88
Dale Davis	51	51	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	3	2	15.5	13.0	2.49	17.3	16.5	0.83
Rasheed Wallace	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	14.6	6.0	8.57	16.9	19.5	-2.63
Steven Smith	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	1	6	14.4	14.3	0.07	17.0	16.8	0.25
Shawn Kemp	20	19	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	0	8	15.5	14.1	1.49	19.2	16.3	2.88
Damon Stoudamire	55	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	8	-8	13.7	15.4	-1.62	16.5	17.6	-1.08
Detlef Schrempf	3	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	13.7	14.4	-0.74	23.7	16.6	7.14
Scottie Pippen	65	65	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	15	-22	14.8	13.5	1.27	17.3	16.1	1.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	29	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.21	-2	-6	4	15.0	17.8	-2.86	11.9	15.5	-3.63
Vernon Maxwell	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	22.1	16.4	5.70	15.8	14.2	1.55
Shawn Bradley	60	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-14	20	18.0	15.0	3.00	15.7	11.4	4.33
Greg Buckner	46	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	3	-14	16.8	17.1	-0.28	12.7	15.9	-3.26
Michael Finley	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	16.4	22.1	-5.70	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Dirk Nowitzki	86	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	16.5	23.0	-6.50	14.0	18.6	-4.54
Juwan Howard	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	0	-8	17.5	13.6	3.95	15.6	7.9	7.69
Steve Nash	69	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.42	-8	0	-8	16.8	17.3	-0.57	14.3	14.5	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.6%
MIA 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	92.1%