NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	85		Excitement	8.1 [223]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +24.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	3.4 [218]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -35.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.24	0.00	0.23	-0.00	21	60%	0.37	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Keith Askins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Sasha Danilovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	76%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
John Crotty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Voshon Lenard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Alonzo Mourning	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.39,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35	-0.21	-0.16	-0.02	16	39%	-0.21	5	-0.15	12	75%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	64%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Randolph Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	11	46%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	18	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	29.8	15.0	31.2	1.8	32.0	139.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.3%

MIA +4.4%

MIA +16.7%

POR -1.3%

POR -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	POR	NBA	MIA	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	95.5	89.0	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		103.1	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.3		101.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	16.2	15.2	19.9	16.2
POR	14.6	15.8	15.5	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	79	82	0.55	-0.06	0.61	0.40	5	-1	6	15.8	19.4	-3.62	15.1	22.0	-6.87
Kurt Thomas	49	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	17.3	14.8	2.57	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Alonzo Mourning	77	79	0.47	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	2	0	16.1	16.6	-0.45	15.6	17.3	-1.75
P.J. Brown	68	70	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.35	3	1	2	15.9	17.1	-1.18	16.4	13.8	2.67
Voshon Lenard	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	17.1	15.3	1.77	16.6	15.0	1.64
Ike Austin	47	46	0.22	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-5	14	16.4	16.0	0.41	16.7	15.0	1.70
Sasha Danilovic	46	47	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-2	8	14.9	17.5	-2.60	14.9	16.7	-1.81
John Crotty	10	10	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	-0.04	-1	5	-6	19.4	15.8	3.62	20.0	15.3	4.70
Keith Askins	24	24	-0.13	0.62	-0.75	0.13	-9	13	-22	15.2	16.6	-1.35	15.4	16.0	-0.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	37	37	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.01	6	-10	16	17.2	14.9	2.27	16.1	16.2	-0.14
Jermaine O'Neal	7	7	0.08	-0.57	0.65	0.05	1	-5	6	12.1	16.1	-3.98	11.6	16.6	-5.01
Mitchell Butler	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-5	6	18.7	15.3	3.36	17.1	16.0	1.04
Isaiah Rider	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-15	26	15.2	16.8	-1.59	17.1	14.6	2.50
Gary Trent	66	64	-0.23	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-6	8	15.3	17.3	-2.02	16.1	16.4	-0.23
Kenny Anderson	70	71	-0.26	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-8	12	15.1	18.3	-3.28	16.7	14.1	2.61
Aaron McKie	29	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.04	-12	8	-20	15.4	16.0	-0.64	13.1	17.5	-4.34
Randolph Childress	16	12	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	8	-20	19.7	15.0	4.78	14.3	16.5	-2.15
Dontonio Wingfield	27	27	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	5	-14	18.4	14.7	3.64	16.3	16.1	0.15
Arvydas Sabonis	74	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-2	0	15.1	18.8	-3.70	15.6	18.6	-3.04
Clifford Robinson	62	60	-0.71	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	6	-16	15.7	16.0	-0.27	17.5	13.5	4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.3%
POR 96, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0	92.1%
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	91.5%