NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	8.0 [143]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +10.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	4.2 [64]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -21.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	11	50%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	24	54%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07
Eric Riley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Minor	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	31%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.19,-0.25,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.09	0.04	0.01	18	50%	0.09	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	62%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	9	36%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	17	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	60%	0.02
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	11	29%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.09	0.03	12	41%	-0.14	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	8	25%	-0.10	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.2	25.6	14.7	31.1	1.4	43.7	142.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.2%

NJN -18.2%

BOS +2.6%

BOS +9.3%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	13.1	14.0	15.8	93.5	87.6	99.6
season	15.0	15.0		98.1	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.5	13.5	13.0	13.4	13.1
NJN	11.9	15.3	14.1	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	59	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	0	9	13.5	12.5	1.00	11.3	16.7	-5.37
Bruce Bowen	71	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	3	3	13.5	12.3	1.19	14.0	13.9	0.13
Popeye Jones	19	18	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-2	13	12.6	13.1	-0.51	10.9	14.6	-3.69
Paul Pierce	84	83	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	13.5	11.6	1.89	14.6	11.6	3.05
Andrew DeClercq	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	6	-3	13.5	12.8	0.70	14.8	13.4	1.43
Greg Minor	59	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	3	3	12.3	13.9	-1.58	13.2	14.9	-1.73
Antoine Walker	86	87	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	9	-9	12.8	14.1	-1.36	14.5	11.7	2.75
Eric Riley	13	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	5	-1	12.7	13.1	-0.41	10.1	14.4	-4.25
Tony Battie	52	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	9	-9	13.4	12.7	0.67	14.2	13.8	0.46
Kenny Anderson	51	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.17	4	5	-1	12.1	13.9	-1.81	16.5	11.5	4.95

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	51	55	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-20	31	14.3	13.7	0.61	13.3	12.8	0.59
Chris Gatling	37	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-10	11	12.6	14.7	-2.09	13.8	12.6	1.14
Jim McIlvaine	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	13.4	14.2	-0.82	15.0	12.3	2.68
Jayson Williams	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.8	12.7	2.10	12.2	14.6	-2.40
Eric Murdock	68	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.0	12.1	2.96	13.6	12.0	1.63
Damon Jones	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	12.6	15.0	-2.40	11.6	14.0	-2.45
Scott Burrell	60	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	7	-23	14.1	13.8	0.35	13.2	12.9	0.29
Kerry Kittles	94	99	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	-3	-3	13.5	18.2	-4.67	12.9	14.6	-1.64
Keith Van Horn	74	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.24	-14	5	-19	14.4	13.1	1.28	12.9	13.5	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%
MIA 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	92.3%
NYK 109, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.1%