NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	7.3 [351]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): +16.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	4.3 [192]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -23.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	13	55%	0.16	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Scott Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.05
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Stephon Marbury	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Randy Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	13	44%	-0.01	3	-0.11	8	37%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	10	10%	-0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.08	0.03	8	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.03
Sean Rooks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	7	55%	0.02	5	-0.13	8	50%	-0.05
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	7	50%	-0.06	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.0	29.1	16.5	28.2	2.6	43.2	147.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -13.6%

PHX +17.3%

LAC -5.3%

PHX +52.3%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	16.5	15.5	106.5	98.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.3	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	12.2	15.8	15.9	14.6
LAC	17.2	16.0	18.5	14.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	59	59	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-13	32	14.3	15.2	-0.88	16.9	15.9	0.94
Bo Outlaw	78	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	0	6	14.3	16.2	-1.92	16.1	19.0	-2.86
Stephon Marbury	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	2	2	14.5	15.2	-0.74	15.9	20.2	-4.20
Shawn Marion	80	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	2	2	14.6	14.2	0.48	16.7	15.5	1.13
Jake Voskuhl	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	-4	14	13.3	15.4	-2.11	16.7	16.4	0.27
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	9	-12	16.1	12.7	3.40	16.7	16.3	0.42
Scott Williams	11	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	2	2	15.5	14.5	0.99	22.4	15.9	6.54
Randy Brown	29	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	5	-4	13.3	15.2	-1.86	16.9	16.4	0.54
Joe Johnson	38	39	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.03	-15	21	-36	15.7	13.8	1.87	15.7	17.1	-1.37

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	14.3	17.1	-2.86	12.8	15.1	-2.22
Wang Zhi-zhi	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-8	10	13.9	17.0	-3.04	11.5	15.0	-3.55
Quentin Richardson	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	17.4	16.4	1.05	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Sean Rooks	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-5	4	16.7	16.4	0.29	16.4	12.6	3.78
Cherokee Parks	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	17.5	15.8	1.72	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Eric Piatkowski	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	17.2	16.1	1.04	12.9	15.8	-2.93
Elton Brand	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.7	1.08	15.0	13.1	1.93
Lamar Odom	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	2	-10	17.2	14.7	2.52	15.5	12.0	3.51
Corey Maggette	74	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	15.6	20.0	-4.35	14.6	14.6	0.02
Andre Miller	78	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	16.6	16.5	0.08	14.7	13.8	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.05,0	92.8%
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%
LAC 99, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.04,0	92.3%