NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	7.8 [252]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +14.5%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	4.1 [118]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -19.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	21	64%	0.22	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	63%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	9	67%	0.03
Rick Brunson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	12	52%	0.16	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	88%	0.16	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	22	51%	0.02	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	16	50%	-0.08	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.5	16.6	27.2	2.4	38.5	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.6%

CHI +20.2%

CHI +18.1%

NYK -4.9%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.7	109.5	104.2	100.5
season	15.2	15.5		94.6	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.8	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	16.7	16.4	13.5	15.6
NYK	13.5	15.3	17.1	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	48	49	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	15.2	15.9	-0.62	13.6	16.0	-2.49
Kirk Hinrich	76	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.46	2	3	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.8	14.5	0.28
Jamal Crawford	89	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	15.1	22.8	-7.77	14.4	20.8	-6.38
Marcus Fizer	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.2	0.87	13.7	15.7	-1.95
Antonio Davis	63	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	2	1	15.6	15.4	0.23	15.6	13.2	2.42
Eddy Curry	43	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-1	7	15.1	15.9	-0.76	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Kendall Gill	45	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	16.9	14.3	2.61	16.8	13.0	3.80
Jerome Williams	48	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	8	-11	15.3	15.8	-0.45	15.1	14.5	0.60
Rick Brunson	19	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	2	1	16.0	15.4	0.55	14.5	14.8	-0.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	13.9	14.9	-0.96	20.5	15.0	5.52
Moochie Norris	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-6	7	14.1	15.0	-0.87	14.3	16.0	-1.65
Howard Eisley	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	0	-5	15.3	14.7	0.60	17.1	15.3	1.87
Antonio McDyess	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	17.0	13.8	3.23	16.9	15.0	1.98
Kurt Thomas	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	13.8	18.7	-4.91	14.9	18.1	-3.12
Keith Van Horn	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Dikembe Mutombo	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	14.9	13.8	1.07	15.6	14.8	0.85
Charlie Ward	63	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.0	14.2	0.86	15.0	16.7	-1.62
Shandon Anderson	95	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.76	15.6	0.0	15.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	92.8%
LAC 99, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.04,0	91.7%
SAC 105, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.02,0,0	91.5%