NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	7.4 [319]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +12.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	4.9 [281]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -42.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	15	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	22	48%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Keon Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	3	53%	-0.04	2	-0.08	11	64%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.08	0.01	16	37%	-0.14	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	13	54%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	19	50%	-0.11	2	-0.08	16	69%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.27,-0.34,-0.38,-0.35,-0.35,-0.43,-0.42,-0.43	-0.43	-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	24	43%	-0.21	6	-0.22	15	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	0.5	32.8	17.7	31.3	3.3	39.5	152.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.7%

SAC +6.4%

LAL -24.6%

SAC +24.3%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.0	14.9	15.5	101.9	96.1	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		102.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.9	13.8	13.5	12.0	13.0
LAL	15.3	14.5	14.8	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	97	97	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	13.0	14.0	-1.01	15.0	13.7	1.32
Bobby Jackson	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-2	10	13.3	12.9	0.42	15.0	14.9	0.12
Mike Bibby	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	2	2	12.9	13.3	-0.35	15.0	14.7	0.29
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	0	6	12.4	14.6	-2.28	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Keon Clark	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	4	-2	13.6	12.7	0.93	15.2	14.7	0.47
Jim Jackson	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	13.2	12.9	0.28	15.0	14.8	0.23
Doug Christie	65	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	7	-8	12.7	13.6	-0.92	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Vlade Divac	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-1	8	13.5	12.4	1.07	15.0	14.7	0.27
Hedo Turkoglu	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	14.5	12.8	1.62	13.4	15.1	-1.69

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-10	14	10.3	15.0	-4.72	2.0	13.4	-11.38
Tracy Murray	3	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-9	12	8.3	15.1	-6.78	1.5	13.3	-11.78
Brian Shaw	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.9	0.18	13.2	13.0	0.28
Samaki Walker	55	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-4	2	15.2	14.5	0.69	14.3	11.5	2.88
Robert Horry	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	15.1	14.7	0.39	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Rick Fox	52	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.0	-0.25	13.5	12.6	0.95
Devean George	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	0	-6	15.2	14.6	0.56	13.0	13.1	-0.05
Derek Fisher	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	2	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.22	12.8	13.7	-0.87
Kobe Bryant	99	99	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-3	0	14.9	14.7	0.17	13.2	10.0	3.17
Shaquille O'Neal	91	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.9	15.1	-0.19	12.7	15.5	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, BKN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	92.7%
WAS 106, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.25,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.0%
CHI 104, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.05,0	91.5%