NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	7.3 [400]		MVP	Markieff Morris (WAS): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	3.2 [192]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -24.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.00	15	62%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	7	56%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	14	62%	0.17	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	44%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	20	52%	0.10	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.04	20	51%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	10	18%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.02	22	30%	-0.15	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	32.3	15.7	25.3	2.3	33.7	134.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +60.8%

PHX -4.4%

PHX -18.9%

WAS +16.6%

PHX -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.9	105.0	99.0	105.1
season	13.8	14.4		104.1	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.1		107.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	13.0	12.8	14.3	13.4
PHX	16.0	14.1	17.2	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	33	33	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-1	9	13.8	13.2	0.58	13.2	16.2	-2.98
John Wall	84	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	13.5	12.9	0.58	16.0	11.9	4.02
Marcin Gortat	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	0	7	14.5	11.9	2.56	15.8	14.6	1.20
Otto Porter	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	2	3	13.5	13.3	0.23	15.1	15.6	-0.56
Jared Dudley	29	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	3	1	12.2	13.9	-1.71	15.7	15.0	0.73
Markieff Morris	72	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	13.9	12.2	1.71	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Nene	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	8	-9	12.0	14.2	-2.22	15.9	14.9	1.03
Bradley Beal	72	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	10	-13	13.7	12.8	0.84	15.2	15.4	-0.28
JJ Hickson	6	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	11.5	13.5	-2.05	6.3	15.8	-9.48
Marcus Thornton	2	2	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	7	-7	12.0	13.5	-1.45	3.5	15.5	-11.98
Garrett Temple	41	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.12	1	6	-5	12.4	14.1	-1.66	16.4	14.4	1.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Williams	1	2	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-9	11	20.0	15.2	4.81	10.5	13.5	-2.98
John Jenkins	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-7	7	15.7	15.0	0.73	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Alex Len	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-8	9	15.9	14.6	1.33	13.5	13.4	0.07
Chase Budinger	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	15.0	15.3	-0.37	13.7	13.3	0.41
Archie Goodwin	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	15.2	15.3	-0.06	14.4	13.1	1.34
Devin Booker	71	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.2	15.4	-0.24	13.6	13.0	0.53
Tyson Chandler	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	15.3	15.1	0.22	13.4	13.6	-0.19
PJ Tucker	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	0	-7	15.3	15.2	0.06	13.1	14.4	-1.34
Ronnie Price	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	0	-7	15.2	15.4	-0.23	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Mirza Teletovic	68	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	7	-21	14.6	16.5	-1.90	13.5	13.2	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.25,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0,0,0,0	92.1%
SAC 105, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.0%
BOS 93, NOH 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	91.9%