inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement7.2 [380] MVPJordan Hamilton (DEN): +27.3%
Philadelphia 76ers 92 Comeback3.4 [624] LVPEvan Fournier (DEN): -24.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.140.150.025108%0.2700.002100%0.02
Nate Robinson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.02-0.061456%0.142-0.03887%0.02
Timofey Mozgov0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00650%0.0600.004100%0.03
Darrell Arthur0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.04-0.00450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.01862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.011245%0.0200.00580%0.01
Kenneth Faried-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.02555%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
Anthony Randolph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.021-0.04683%0.01
JJ Hickson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.020.01950%0.054-0.12633%-0.07
Andre Miller-0.110,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.00940%-0.091-0.022100%0.01
Evan Fournier-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.14-0.110.00714%-0.153-0.1000%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.060.090.002100%0.1500.002100%0.02
Daniel Orton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.01267%0.0900.002100%0.02
Spencer Hawes0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.03-0.041161%0.053-0.021100%0.00
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Wroten0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.052050%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Lorenzo Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Hollis Thompson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00862%0.082-0.0800%0.00
Brandon Davies0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.021542%0.022-0.07367%-0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.050.00631%-0.072-0.07425%-0.05
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.10-0.130.021225%-0.191-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.031.215.829.52.027.3132.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +0.5%
DEN +18.1%
DEN +36.4%
PHI -2.9%
PHI -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHINBADENPHINBA
this game16.514.315.1109.698.9105.2
season14.013.7104.598.4
opponent15.014.9108.4106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.313.717.018.616.5
PHI13.414.613.515.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur40410.470.030.440.151101117.016.20.8615.413.42.02
Nate Robinson54520.430.070.360.0513-21515.418.0-2.5613.715.0-1.24
Andre Miller55550.420.080.340.1983516.916.10.8214.314.20.08
Jordan Hamilton43430.350.150.200.1765116.116.9-0.7214.713.90.86
Timofey Mozgov36350.350.150.19-0.0614-31716.216.7-0.5013.314.8-1.56
Anthony Randolph32310.290.210.08-0.00101915.417.1-1.7112.515.1-2.61
Evan Fournier41410.280.220.070.1165115.817.1-1.3315.013.61.41
Wilson Chandler51500.150.35-0.200.0056-116.916.10.7213.914.7-0.86
JJ Hickson47480.070.43-0.350.22-516-2117.515.61.9115.612.82.74
Randy Foye4343-0.050.55-0.610.00-213-1517.216.01.2513.714.8-1.13
Kenneth Faried2826-0.260.76-1.020.06-1122-3317.416.21.2314.214.3-0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elliot Williams14130.09-0.590.680.061-121316.413.92.5619.516.13.40
Daniel Orton12110.05-0.550.600.021-121317.213.83.4421.115.95.16
Brandon Davies32300.00-0.500.500.000-111116.313.23.1317.116.30.79
Lorenzo Brown2928-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-121315.913.52.3316.616.50.11
Hollis Thompson6567-0.17-0.330.16-0.232-131514.613.51.0316.915.61.27
James Anderson3131-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-2-714.314.3-0.0016.416.6-0.26
Lavoy Allen2121-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-110-1115.513.91.5715.116.9-1.85
Spencer Hawes6062-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.26-1-10913.216.1-2.8916.217.2-0.95
Tony Wroten6466-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-121-1313.515.9-2.3316.516.6-0.11
Thaddeus Young6164-0.500.00-0.50-0.18-110-1113.216.3-3.1316.317.1-0.79
Evan Turner7677-0.660.16-0.82-0.19-165-2113.617.2-3.6415.819.9-4.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 107, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.02,0,0,092.5%
DET 84, POR 810.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.08,092.2%
WAS 106, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.25,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,092.1%