NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	6.3 [552]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +24.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.3 [236]		LVP	Jonathan Bender (IND): -15.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.08	0.00	16	78%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	5	82%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Fred Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.11	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	5	64%	0.03	6	-0.18	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	10	91%	0.23	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	19	62%	0.10	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	11	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.3	16.5	22.2	1.8	29.0	128.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.6%

IND +14.5%

IND +8.2%

IND +1.5%

PHI -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.7	15.7	113.8	102.2	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	12.0	15.9	15.6	14.5
PHI	15.8	16.8	18.4	15.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-2	18	14.8	13.9	0.82	18.0	13.2	4.73
Fred Jones	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	4	6	15.1	13.8	1.31	15.3	18.3	-3.04
Al Harrington	45	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	2	10	15.9	13.2	2.62	15.7	17.5	-1.78
Jamaal Tinsley	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-3	20	14.0	15.2	-1.15	17.4	15.5	1.97
Jermaine O'Neal	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	7	0	15.1	13.0	2.10	17.0	15.6	1.42
Jeff Foster	65	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	7	0	13.4	16.9	-3.52	16.4	17.2	-0.84
Kenny Anderson	38	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	17	-20	15.2	14.0	1.15	15.5	17.4	-1.97
Reggie Miller	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	10	-6	13.5	15.2	-1.77	19.0	15.0	4.00
Austin Croshere	15	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	12	-10	13.1	14.8	-1.71	17.6	16.5	1.10
Jonathan Bender	29	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	16	-18	13.9	14.8	-0.82	13.2	18.0	-4.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	20	20	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-15	16	14.7	17.2	-2.46	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Zendon Hamilton	48	49	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-18	22	14.8	18.7	-3.89	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Greg Buckner	26	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-13	12	12.9	18.2	-5.25	13.2	15.1	-1.91
Amal McCaskill	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-11	8	19.8	16.3	3.52	9.1	15.1	-6.04
John Salmons	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-7	0	17.7	14.7	2.97	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Aaron McKie	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	18.1	14.1	4.02	15.5	12.9	2.62
Samuel Dalembert	34	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	0	-14	18.4	15.6	2.83	17.1	13.0	4.07
Kenny Thomas	83	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	-1	-12	16.9	13.9	3.06	14.6	13.3	1.29
Eric Snow	73	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	-2	-10	17.0	15.2	1.81	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Willie Green	42	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	3	-20	15.2	17.9	-2.66	14.2	14.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0,0,0,0	92.5%
LAC 104, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.03,0.08,0	92.3%
UTA 100, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.3%