NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	7.1 [216]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +10.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	4.6 [61]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -26.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	15	62%	0.11	0	0.00	15	80%	0.06
Thurl Bailey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Avent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.02	0.05	15	62%	0.06	4	-0.12	12	83%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	58%	0.02	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Corie Blount	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	12	62%	0.04	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	4	45%	-0.02	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	9	50%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	3	30%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	0.00	-0.01	10	14%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.14	0.02	27	49%	-0.19	2	-0.07	22	59%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	31.4	17.4	28.9	1.8	41.0	151.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.7%

UTA +22.1%

LAL -16.6%

UTA +16.3%

LAL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.8	107.5	97.8	99.6
season	16.4	14.9		102.6	104.7
opponent	15.8	16.0		102.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	17.0	13.7	11.8	14.9
LAL	15.4	14.3	17.6	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-6	21	14.0	17.0	-2.93	16.7	14.6	2.09
John Stockton	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-4	17	14.6	15.4	-0.78	16.1	16.0	0.17
Greg Ostertag	38	40	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-3	15	14.8	14.9	-0.07	17.6	14.9	2.74
Bryon Russell	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	14.3	18.7	-4.43	16.2	15.2	1.08
Shandon Anderson	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	2	5	14.0	15.8	-1.78	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Jeff Hornacek	44	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	7	-5	15.8	14.0	1.78	16.5	15.7	0.78
Thurl Bailey	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	9	-9	12.0	15.2	-3.15	16.6	16.0	0.59
Anthony Avent	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	19.1	14.4	4.68	13.2	16.4	-3.10
Todd Fuller	46	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	12	-15	15.2	14.6	0.54	14.4	17.7	-3.27
Howard Eisley	28	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	13	-17	15.4	14.6	0.78	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Adam Keefe	32	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	17	-25	17.4	13.6	3.80	15.4	16.4	-0.96

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	9.0	16.2	-7.16	1.0	15.0	-14.03
Ruben Patterson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	9.0	16.2	-7.24	6.0	15.1	-9.08
Derek Fisher	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-5	1	16.7	15.8	0.90	15.2	14.7	0.42
Corie Blount	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-3	-3	16.3	16.0	0.28	15.6	14.6	0.93
Robert Horry	47	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	15.5	16.7	-1.21	15.1	14.7	0.40
Kobe Bryant	78	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	16.3	14.9	1.45	15.2	12.7	2.55
Eddie Jones	74	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	15.7	17.6	-1.94	16.0	10.3	5.64
Elden Campbell	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.8	15.0	1.76	13.7	16.6	-2.87
Derek Harper	71	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	0	-9	16.0	16.4	-0.42	14.0	17.6	-3.62
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.29	-15	6	-21	16.1	15.8	0.35	15.1	13.9	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
IND 107, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	92.3%
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.2%