inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 92 Excitement7.1 [378] MVPRay Allen (MIA): +23.3%
Miami Heat 88 Comeback2.6 [239] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -13.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.220.060.160.001852%0.2200.00475%0.01
Danny Green0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01967%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07-0.020.08-0.011948%0.122-0.054100%0.05
Manu Ginobili0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.001150%0.071-0.03475%0.01
Tiago Splitter0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.04-0.00650%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Boris Diaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00945%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Cory Joseph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Neal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00939%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.230.230.130.110.004100%0.281-0.04580%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.00558%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.010.020.011550%0.051-0.03475%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.040.00383%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.021650%0.042-0.09475%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.080.011040%-0.051-0.0600%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.060.011638%-0.111-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.93.735.716.723.83.038.6148.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +11.4%
SAS +8.2%
MIA -1.0%
SAS +29.1%
SAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game16.516.415.4105.7100.0104.1
season15.215.7106.4110.2
opponent15.915.1102.499.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.815.717.016.716.5
MIA14.515.619.916.016.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker73730.62-0.120.750.369-51416.417.2-0.8216.117.7-1.62
Tim Duncan65670.55-0.050.600.289-51416.616.30.3417.014.62.38
Kawhi Leonard63640.51-0.010.520.336-2816.815.80.9616.615.70.88
Gary Neal40410.480.020.470.287-31016.616.40.2215.417.2-1.77
Manu Ginobili50530.480.020.470.3931216.516.50.0317.115.31.73
Danny Green64630.230.27-0.030.1822016.018.1-2.1815.817.8-1.92
Matt Bonner1514-0.060.56-0.63-0.01-26-815.016.8-1.8516.616.40.22
Boris Diaw1315-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-15-618.216.22.0019.815.74.12
Cory Joseph44-0.110.61-0.720.07-610-1620.216.33.9016.016.4-0.40
Tiago Splitter4846-0.130.63-0.760.08-711-1816.616.40.2115.317.5-2.22

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem30300.04-0.540.580.10-2-2017.715.71.9916.216.7-0.50
Chris Andersen24240.02-0.520.53-0.166-101614.517.1-2.6519.215.53.70
Shane Battier1111-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-2017.616.21.4314.916.8-1.85
Joel Anthony77-0.10-0.400.290.04-51-619.016.22.8410.717.0-6.32
Norris Cole3331-0.13-0.370.23-0.07-2-2014.917.3-2.3617.416.11.28
Mike Miller3838-0.15-0.350.21-0.357-111814.617.8-3.1816.216.8-0.52
Mario Chalmers4950-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-40-418.014.33.6915.517.9-2.32
Ray Allen4443-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.515-91414.618.2-3.5518.115.03.18
Chris Bosh6463-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.19-95-1416.915.01.8516.416.8-0.42
LeBron James7674-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-3-1-216.515.41.1216.417.5-1.19
Dwyane Wade6464-0.610.11-0.72-0.28-117-1817.114.52.6516.417.0-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 90, CHI 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,093.9%
NYK 75, CLE 650.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,093.7%
DAL 115, MEM 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,092.8%