NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	75		Excitement	6.2 [545]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +12.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	65		Comeback	2.9 [290]		LVP	Bobby Phills (CLE): -22.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.09	-0.02	8	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	16	67%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
John Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	57%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	4	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	0.01	20	55%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	12	19%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	24.6	16.3	24.5	2.5	35.4	130.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.9%

NYK +17.2%

CLE -2.4%

NYK +3.9%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	17.0	19.0	15.6	94.9	80.2	104.4
season	15.1	17.8		102.0	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.1		100.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	16.1	18.3	16.4	17.0
CLE	16.3	18.9	21.7	19.6	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	42	42	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	0	10	16.9	17.0	-0.10	19.8	18.1	1.68
John Starks	59	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-5	20	16.3	19.0	-2.78	19.6	17.2	2.39
Charlie Ward	45	47	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-2	14	15.8	18.6	-2.78	19.8	17.9	1.82
Larry Johnson	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-3	16	17.0	16.8	0.25	19.0	18.9	0.17
Chris Childs	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	17.9	14.5	3.37	18.6	19.8	-1.18
Charles Oakley	54	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	9	-8	16.4	18.3	-1.97	18.1	21.1	-3.02
Allan Houston	53	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	11	-12	18.3	14.3	4.03	18.9	19.1	-0.17
John Wallace	8	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	13.5	17.4	-3.87	22.2	18.6	3.62
Herb Williams	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	19.9	16.5	3.41	13.3	19.9	-6.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-11	12	18.3	19.2	-0.90	19.0	16.2	2.76
Vitaly Potapenko	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	21.2	18.6	2.66	17.9	16.8	1.11
Danny Ferry	52	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	19.3	18.4	0.91	16.2	18.3	-2.08
Donny Marshall	4	5	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	23.5	18.8	4.73	18.8	16.9	1.95
Bobby Phills	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-7	4	18.5	20.5	-1.99	17.9	13.9	4.00
Terrell Brandon	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	18.6	21.8	-3.26	16.7	18.9	-2.25
Bob Sura	41	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	4	-18	19.5	18.4	1.09	15.4	18.5	-3.19
Tyrone Hill	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-4	-2	18.6	20.7	-2.07	17.2	16.1	1.10
Chris Mills	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	19.2	16.4	2.77	16.9	19.0	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	93.7%
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.3%
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	93.2%