NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	7.8 [251]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +10.2%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	2.6 [156]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -47.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	59%	0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Calbert Cheaney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.14,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.08	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	56%	0.04	4	-0.13	10	100%	0.06
Rod Strickland	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.29,-0.26	-0.12	-0.13	0.01	19	39%	-0.21	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	15	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	0.02	13	32%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.4,-0.48,-0.42,-0.47	-0.47	-0.21	-0.21	0.05	28	41%	-0.32	5	-0.15	12	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	26.2	15.5	23.2	2.3	38.6	138.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.1%

WAS +6.8%

WAS +4.4%

CHI -0.6%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	16.8	15.6	100.0	92.2	102.5
season	15.1	16.2		102.8	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		97.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	15.6	16.2	17.0	15.2
CHI	14.4	17.1	19.8	16.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	62	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	15.7	14.3	1.39	17.3	15.3	1.98
Terry Davis	64	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	-2	11	15.7	14.2	1.43	17.1	15.8	1.31
Juwan Howard	78	77	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	6	-5	14.7	18.6	-3.85	16.4	18.9	-2.53
Calbert Cheaney	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	1	5	15.0	15.7	-0.69	17.2	15.9	1.34
Rod Strickland	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	14.8	17.7	-2.86	16.6	17.8	-1.27
Tracy Murray	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	7	-7	15.5	15.0	0.45	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Harvey Grant	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	4	-1	16.1	14.7	1.42	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Chris Whitney	15	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	8	-9	15.4	15.2	0.19	17.8	16.6	1.27
Darvin Ham	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	4	-1	14.7	15.4	-0.64	15.3	17.2	-1.87

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	35	36	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-12	17	15.4	17.6	-2.22	13.3	16.5	-3.19
Joe Kleine	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-6	5	15.0	16.9	-1.88	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Toni Kukoc	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-12	17	15.5	19.1	-3.63	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Ron Harper	41	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	17.2	16.4	0.81	16.1	14.5	1.63
Jason Caffey	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.9	16.9	-0.97	17.8	14.8	2.95
Jud Buechler	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	16.5	16.8	-0.27	12.8	15.4	-2.58
Michael Jordan	77	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	16.4	18.8	-2.35	14.7	18.3	-3.60
Luc Longley	69	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	17.5	14.2	3.28	15.8	13.7	2.08
Dennis Rodman	73	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	17.3	14.2	3.11	15.9	13.0	2.89
Scott Burrell	44	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	5	-17	17.3	16.3	1.01	15.4	15.1	0.26
Steve Kerr	29	32	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	2	-11	17.9	16.2	1.73	15.8	14.9	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	93.9%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	92.8%
BOS 99, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.5%