NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	6.6 [475]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (BOS): +16.2%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	3.9 [470]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -37.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	7	70%	0.23	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.04	9	86%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	9	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.13	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.09	6	-0.16	8	62%	-0.03
Glen Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.11

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.02	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.09	-0.05	15	53%	0.22	6	-0.15	8	100%	0.07
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.20	-0.19	-0.01	17	20%	-0.31	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	1.8	29.3	16.6	29.4	1.6	32.5	142.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.3%

WAS -12.4%

WAS -2.1%

BOS +1.5%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.3	106.5	95.7	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		105.7	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	16.4	13.9	14.8	15.1
WAS	16.6	14.2	16.8	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	75	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-5	21	14.6	17.2	-2.60	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Rasheed Wallace	45	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	3	5	14.5	15.7	-1.15	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Rajon Rondo	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-5	21	15.0	15.5	-0.52	16.0	16.0	0.01
Kevin Garnett	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	15.1	15.1	0.02	16.5	15.1	1.48
Tony Allen	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	10	-9	15.2	15.0	0.26	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Glen Davis	15	15	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	6	-1	13.0	15.5	-2.54	16.4	15.9	0.46
Paul Pierce	53	52	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	3	5	15.8	14.2	1.59	17.0	14.7	2.32
Eddie House	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	16	-21	15.5	15.0	0.44	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Kendrick Perkins	48	49	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	8	-5	15.7	14.5	1.15	16.8	15.1	1.72
Brian Scalabrine	20	19	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	21	-31	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.5	16.4	-1.94

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-9	7	15.7	16.0	-0.32	17.1	14.9	2.18
Andray Blatche	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-10	9	15.1	16.9	-1.81	15.6	14.7	0.91
Nick Young	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	15.6	16.2	-0.62	17.1	14.4	2.76
Randy Foye	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	2	-15	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.5	14.9	0.66
Earl Boykins	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-13	15	15.4	17.1	-1.66	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Antawn Jamison	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	16.2	15.0	1.21	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Mike Miller	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.7	17.9	-3.25
Caron Butler	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	3	-17	15.9	16.6	-0.66	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Brendan Haywood	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.8	14.8	2.01	14.7	15.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.02,0.02,0	93.3%
MIN 95, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.8%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	92.5%