NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	6.9 [411]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (DET): +32.9%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	2.5 [280]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -19.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.18	-0.01	12	66%	0.30	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.16	0.07	0.02	13	81%	0.29	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19	0.17	0.05	0.03	9	86%	0.24	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.05
Eric Gordon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.14	-0.02	11	45%	0.17	0	0.00	9	67%	0.04
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.01	7	47%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	11	88%	0.41	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	17	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	24	42%	-0.09	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.3	26.5	17.4	31.4	2.5	39.7	148.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.0%

LAC +16.6%

DET -38.8%

LAC +12.3%

DET -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	20.1	15.3	123.8	114.3	106.0
season	15.5	16.8		101.9	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	14.0	15.3	13.9	14.2
DET	19.1	19.3	24.7	18.2	20.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	70	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	14.3	13.4	0.96	20.0	20.5	-0.49
Marcus Camby	74	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	14.1	14.6	-0.51	19.9	22.0	-2.09
Chris Kaman	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	15.0	12.0	3.02	21.2	17.6	3.66
Eric Gordon	50	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	5	-2	13.5	15.1	-1.67	19.4	21.2	-1.76
Baron Davis	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	1	6	14.1	14.2	-0.11	20.7	18.5	2.27
Sebastian Telfair	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	13.7	14.3	-0.64	18.5	20.7	-2.27
Craig Smith	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	11	-14	14.2	14.1	0.12	20.2	20.1	0.17
Rasual Butler	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	4	0	13.5	15.0	-1.43	20.5	19.7	0.81
Steve Novak	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	19.0	14.0	5.02	16.7	20.3	-3.55
Ricky Davis	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	0.0	14.2	-14.15	14.0	20.2	-6.20
Mardy Collins	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	0.0	14.2	-14.15	14.0	20.2	-6.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-14	20	20.3	20.1	0.20	14.3	14.1	0.16
DaJuan Summers	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-6	4	23.1	19.8	3.34	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Kwame Brown	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-9	10	20.6	20.1	0.55	17.7	13.8	3.88
Chucky Atkins	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-7	6	28.9	19.1	9.81	9.1	14.8	-5.65
Austin Daye	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	0	-8	20.2	20.0	0.13	13.2	16.5	-3.34
Jonas Jerebko	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-10	12	19.6	21.4	-1.86	15.1	11.8	3.30
Will Bynum	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	18.5	24.2	-5.65	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Ben Wallace	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	20.2	19.9	0.24	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Charlie Villanueva	63	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	9	-26	20.0	20.6	-0.65	14.2	14.0	0.15
Rodney Stuckey	58	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	4	-16	20.5	19.3	1.14	14.7	12.8	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.1%
IND 107, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	92.3%
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.1%