NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	7.2 [413]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +34.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	3.5 [198]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -18.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	10	55%	0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	0.07	0.01	0.08	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	9	89%	-0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	17	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.17	0.01	6	100%	0.36	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Sergei Monia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	21	47%	-0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.02	19	53%	0.04	4	-0.22	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	30.1	17.6	25.4	3.6	41.5	148.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.2%

POR -15.6%

DET +6.7%

DET +33.0%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	18.9	17.7	15.6	107.7	102.5	104.4
season	16.9	16.6		108.3	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		109.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.6	18.9	19.6	18.7	18.9
POR	18.4	18.9	18.3	15.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-3	9	18.9	19.2	-0.26	17.5	19.2	-1.67
Ben Wallace	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.41	5	-2	7	18.7	19.8	-1.18	18.2	16.4	1.80
Richard Hamilton	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	18.6	20.7	-2.03	18.2	15.9	2.30
Rasheed Wallace	52	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	2	-1	18.6	19.7	-1.12	17.5	18.2	-0.72
Carlos Delfino	14	12	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	-3	9	17.4	19.3	-1.94	19.8	17.4	2.46
Tayshaun Prince	64	67	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	6	-9	19.3	17.4	1.94	17.4	19.8	-2.46
Dale Davis	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	19.9	18.8	1.12	18.2	17.7	0.59
Maurice Evans	12	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	6	-9	20.7	18.6	2.03	15.9	18.2	-2.30
Antonio McDyess	34	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	19.7	18.4	1.34	17.1	18.2	-1.05
Carlos Arroyo	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	6	-9	19.2	18.9	0.26	19.2	17.5	1.67

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	34	33	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-5	7	19.1	16.7	2.46	19.9	18.2	1.72
Sergei Monia	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-2	1	19.0	17.6	1.39	18.9	19.0	-0.08
Martell Webster	15	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	2	-7	17.7	17.7	-0.02	18.5	19.0	-0.49
Jarrett Jack	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	2	-7	17.6	17.8	-0.22	19.6	18.6	1.00
Zach Randolph	70	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-8	13	18.6	10.8	7.87	19.2	17.3	1.83
Ruben Patterson	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	1	-5	17.5	18.1	-0.57	18.8	19.1	-0.25
Sebastian Telfair	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	17.8	17.6	0.22	18.6	19.6	-1.00
Juan Dixon	32	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	16.6	18.5	-1.94	18.5	19.2	-0.66
Darius Miles	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	17.4	20.2	-2.81	19.1	17.9	1.20
Theo Ratliff	45	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	2	-7	16.7	19.1	-2.46	18.2	19.9	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	94.5%
ATL 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.7%
DET 87, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	93.3%