NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	6.0 [576]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +21.4%
New Orleans Hornets	83		Comeback	3.0 [265]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -24.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	12	67%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	4	-0.12	18	89%	0.08
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	18	37%	-0.12	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	14	53%	0.09	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	17	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	23	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	43%	-0.08	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	29%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	33.2	17.7	30.2	2.8	34.3	148.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.7%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +1.3%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.3	15.5	103.3	93.3	101.6
season	15.6	15.9		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	13.8	16.8	17.0	15.8
NOH	16.9	18.3	13.2	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-6	22	16.1	15.2	0.89	16.3	16.4	-0.15
Antoine Walker	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	0	10	15.9	15.7	0.19	16.1	19.7	-3.57
Paul Pierce	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	1	8	16.4	13.6	2.78	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Tony Delk	73	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	4	2	15.8	15.8	0.03	15.6	18.9	-3.32
Tony Battie	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	7	-4	16.1	15.4	0.72	15.8	17.4	-1.55
Vin Baker	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	2	6	15.4	16.0	-0.62	18.2	15.6	2.57
Shammond Williams	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	5	0	15.0	16.4	-1.38	17.6	15.5	2.14
Walter McCarty	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	8	-6	16.6	15.8	0.79	17.6	16.2	1.36
Mikki Moore	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	12.7	16.0	-3.24	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Kedrick Brown	26	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	18	-26	14.9	16.2	-1.35	16.8	16.2	0.68

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	28	27	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.01	8	-18	26	17.0	16.0	1.02	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Bryce Drew	6	7	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-13	16	17.2	16.3	0.89	11.3	16.2	-4.94
Jamaal Magloire	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-11	12	15.8	16.7	-0.90	15.8	15.9	-0.05
George Lynch	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-8	6	14.9	16.5	-1.63	17.2	15.7	1.52
Courtney Alexander	74	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-14	18	16.0	18.2	-2.24	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Elden Campbell	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	16.8	16.0	0.77	16.2	15.6	0.55
Stacey Augmon	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	17.4	15.9	1.53	16.9	15.4	1.43
Robert Traylor	12	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	17.7	16.1	1.54	15.0	16.0	-0.99
David Wesley	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	1	-12	16.2	17.5	-1.28	16.2	13.8	2.32
Jamal Mashburn	79	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	4	-18	16.4	16.1	0.27	15.7	17.0	-1.28
P.J. Brown	55	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.11	-20	10	-30	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.7	16.0	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	93.4%
LAL 104, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.01,0.06,0.02,0	93.2%
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%