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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 96 Excitement6.4 [514] MVPSteve Francis (HOU): +10.6%
Washington Wizards 86 Comeback3.6 [611] LVPDavid Vanterpool (WAS): -25.7%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.050.041283%0.224-0.11667%-0.02
Matt Bullard0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.06-0.02847%0.0800.001100%0.00
Walt Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.06-0.01847%0.0700.00367%-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011258%0.071-0.04250%-0.02
Cuttino Mobley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.001055%0.0000.001191%0.05
Kelvin Cato0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00425%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Moochie Norris-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.011133%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Kenny Thomas-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.01848%-0.045-0.13580%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Laron Profit0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.060.021753%0.122-0.0700%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.011157%0.051-0.026100%0.03
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00050%-0.0400.00450%-0.04
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.001336%-0.081-0.012100%0.01
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.04-0.012034%-0.1500.00786%0.02
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.15-0.06-0.00642%-0.103-0.101233%-0.11
David Vanterpool0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.17-0.080.01933%-0.144-0.11633%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.528.215.529.42.530.2132.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +45.5%
HOU +11.7%
WAS -17.4%
HOU +4.3%
HOU +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUWASNBAHOUWASNBA
this game16.116.715.5110.396.6100.9
season16.315.2104.698.6
opponent15.214.9105.5102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU17.714.814.017.816.1
WAS13.819.516.517.316.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bullard35320.60-0.100.710.1615-52015.616.3-0.7218.615.62.97
Steve Francis70720.58-0.080.650.3191816.215.40.8816.318.4-2.09
Walt Williams46450.55-0.050.610.1414-41816.215.90.3418.215.13.06
Kelvin Cato32310.53-0.030.550.1214-41816.216.00.2620.314.75.52
Moochie Norris63620.420.080.340.131001015.517.6-2.1616.517.0-0.43
Shandon Anderson36390.020.48-0.460.05-111-1215.616.4-0.7615.617.5-1.86
Hakeem Olajuwon4448-0.010.51-0.520.05-212-1416.215.90.3915.717.8-2.03
Cuttino Mobley5760-0.020.52-0.540.04-212-1416.714.91.8216.117.8-1.63
Kenny Thomas5256-0.170.67-0.840.03-717-2416.116.10.0015.119.3-4.15

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Popeye Jones15140.01-0.510.520.010-101019.716.13.6115.716.1-0.41
Mike Smith55-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-14188.617.1-8.5417.816.01.85
Christian Laettner6967-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-152014.922.8-7.9216.115.80.33
Jahidi White5655-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-3-7416.816.40.3816.814.81.92
Courtney Alexander8280-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.16-5-5016.023.9-7.8115.621.4-5.84
David Vanterpool5150-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-1-817.415.71.7515.117.4-2.25
Laron Profit8382-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.24-6-4-216.223.5-7.3316.114.81.33
Richard Hamilton5756-0.590.10-0.69-0.10-177-2417.615.02.5517.413.73.70
Michael Smith2726-0.610.11-0.71-0.05-199-2820.814.95.9114.416.8-2.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 88, LAC 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,094.7%
DAL 102, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.38,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,094.3%
SAS 106, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.28,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.16,094.1%