NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	6.1 [593]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +19.0%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	4.1 [171]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -10.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.09	0.04	13	72%	0.19	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	18	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	19	55%	0.15	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.04
Zarko Cabarkapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.09
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	33.6	15.8	27.5	3.3	29.5	135.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.3%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +14.0%

DAL +9.4%

GSW -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	17.2	14.3	15.6	112.1	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		109.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.2	16.5	18.7	15.6	17.2
GSW	13.9	14.8	14.0	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	38	39	0.69	-0.19	0.87	-0.02	24	-15	39	17.4	17.1	0.32	14.7	14.0	0.76
Adrian Griffin	60	61	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-5	19	16.4	18.7	-2.33	15.4	12.1	3.30
Jason Terry	69	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	2	5	17.1	17.5	-0.32	14.3	14.2	0.12
Keith Van Horn	31	33	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-4	17	17.0	17.3	-0.37	12.5	15.3	-2.76
Jerry Stackhouse	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	16.9	17.5	-0.63	12.6	16.2	-3.66
Devin Harris	25	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	4	1	18.6	16.7	1.86	14.9	14.1	0.84
Dirk Nowitzki	66	66	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	17	-25	17.7	16.0	1.61	15.0	12.6	2.38
Darrell Armstrong	5	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	8	-7	21.0	17.0	4.01	11.3	14.5	-3.16
Josh Howard	73	74	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	16	-23	16.8	18.8	-2.03	13.9	15.9	-2.07
DeSagana Diop	39	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	17	-25	17.6	16.9	0.67	15.4	13.5	1.98

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	1.0	14.4	-13.43	36.0	17.0	19.00
Jason Richardson	63	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-11	13	15.2	12.2	3.03	18.2	14.9	3.25
Zarko Cabarkapa	2	2	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	1.5	14.6	-13.07	3.5	17.5	-14.02
Baron Davis	82	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-11	13	13.7	19.4	-5.74	16.7	20.9	-4.21
Troy Murphy	74	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.4	13.6	0.83	17.0	18.1	-1.04
Adonal Foyle	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	16.2	10.5	5.63	17.8	16.1	1.74
Ike Diogu	14	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	11.9	14.7	-2.78	15.2	17.5	-2.26
Mickael Pietrus	36	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	3	-15	14.0	14.4	-0.42	17.4	17.1	0.26
Mike Dunleavy	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	14.1	15.2	-1.10	16.9	18.8	-1.95
Derek Fisher	53	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	7	-23	13.5	15.3	-1.78	17.4	17.0	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.38,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 88, LAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0	93.3%
DET 96, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%