inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement5.9 [616] MVPCedric Ceballos (DET): +12.5%
Charlotte Hornets 89 Comeback3.6 [118] LVPChucky Atkins (DET): -17.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.120.010.07-0.04771%0.173-0.0400%0.00
Jud Buechler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.06-0.00267%0.0700.00250%-0.02
Mikki Moore0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00483%0.101-0.03450%-0.01
John Wallace0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Billy Owens0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jerome Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.02756%0.062-0.044100%0.03
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.00455%-0.001-0.0330%-0.07
Eric Montross-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00653%0.023-0.09367%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.120,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.002148%-0.054-0.0710100%0.04
Chucky Atkins-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.19-0.02-0.041323%-0.143-0.03450%-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.030.05575%0.0300.002100%0.01
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00450%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.011949%0.033-0.053100%0.01
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0110%-0.0300.0010%-0.03
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01944%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.011462%0.075-0.13667%-0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021439%-0.0600.00850%-0.06
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.02-0.06927%-0.084-0.064100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.527.314.828.11.731.3129.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +30.5%
DET +13.8%
DET +16.8%
CHH -2.7%
CHH -8.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHHNBADETCHHNBA
this game13.715.715.597.091.8100.9
season14.315.897.999.7
opponent15.615.497.099.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.114.014.314.413.7
CHH14.518.116.314.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Ceballos38390.56-0.060.620.338-1913.913.60.3115.615.8-0.15
Mikki Moore25240.52-0.020.550.2011-41513.313.8-0.4817.215.31.91
Jud Buechler25230.50-0.000.500.2110-31313.613.7-0.1617.615.22.40
Jerome Williams62600.470.030.430.2670713.414.1-0.6515.815.70.09
Mateen Cleaves33320.390.110.290.1010-31312.314.4-2.0617.514.82.69
Chucky Atkins66650.110.39-0.290.19-310-1314.412.32.0614.817.5-2.69
Ben Wallace60590.070.43-0.360.16-310-1314.212.91.2915.216.6-1.44
Michael Curry38380.070.43-0.370.0125-314.013.50.4815.216.1-0.86
John Wallace25240.010.49-0.47-0.0734-112.114.2-2.0817.015.31.63
Jerry Stackhouse7474-0.000.50-0.500.09-310-1313.713.60.1615.217.6-2.40
Eric Montross2627-0.070.57-0.650.04-411-1514.913.21.6914.516.2-1.68
Billy Owens2320-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-310-1312.913.9-1.0516.915.41.47

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eldridge Recasner3133-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-2-5315.615.8-0.2211.214.9-3.65
Elden Campbell5959-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-7715.915.40.4714.911.92.94
Jamaal Magloire1719-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-3-116.415.60.7511.714.1-2.40
David Wesley8081-0.16-0.340.17-0.13-1-6515.516.6-1.0414.111.92.12
Eddie Robinson1516-0.21-0.290.090.03-81-917.715.42.3714.413.50.91
Jamal Mashburn8283-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-8915.417.7-2.3713.514.4-0.91
P.J. Brown6668-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-8915.715.9-0.2014.212.51.78
Hersey Hawkins1717-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.15-6-1-516.615.51.0412.613.9-1.24
Baron Davis6667-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.29-5-2-315.815.60.2214.711.63.08
Derrick Coleman5252-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-114-1515.416.1-0.7112.315.2-2.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 108, MIL 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,093.6%
DAL 102, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.38,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,093.1%
CHI 88, LAC 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,093.0%