NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	5.4 [737]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +21.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	3.8 [604]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -13.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.04	0.03	11	105%	0.25	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.12	0.01	17	68%	0.27	5	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Timofey Mozgov	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	19	51%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	5	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.15	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.09	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	14	68%	0.04	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.8	28.0	16.7	21.4	3.3	29.4	121.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.6%

MIL -3.6%

CLE +8.0%

CLE +23.1%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.1	113.7	93.8	104.2
season	15.9	14.5		108.7	100.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	17.2	17.1	16.3	16.4
MIL	12.1	12.0	14.2	17.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	58	58	0.76	-0.26	1.03	-0.09	29	-11	40	16.4	16.4	0.03	14.6	12.5	2.07
Tristan Thompson	47	48	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.08	21	-3	24	16.3	16.6	-0.33	13.7	13.8	-0.17
Matthew Dellavedova	33	34	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.01	23	-5	28	16.7	16.3	0.47	14.4	13.4	0.93
J.R. Smith	71	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	1	16	16.5	16.1	0.40	14.2	12.3	1.96
LeBron James	82	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	14	-10	16.2	17.8	-1.65	13.1	17.0	-3.85
Kendrick Perkins	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	13	-8	23.0	16.3	6.72	16.7	13.7	3.01
Mike Miller	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	13	-8	23.0	16.3	6.72	16.7	13.7	3.01
Kevin Love	59	59	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	19	-20	16.2	16.8	-0.62	13.8	13.7	0.12
James Jones	13	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	18	-18	17.3	16.3	1.03	10.6	14.3	-3.72
Kyrie Irving	62	62	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	23	-28	16.3	16.7	-0.47	13.4	14.4	-0.93
Timofey Mozgov	46	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	26	-34	16.3	16.5	-0.23	13.6	13.8	-0.20

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	61	61	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-28	38	13.6	14.0	-0.35	16.6	16.1	0.43
Tyler Ennis	16	17	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-21	24	14.5	13.6	0.90	18.4	16.0	2.35
Johnny O'Bryant	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	18.0	13.6	4.43	21.0	16.2	4.78
Miles Plumlee	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	18.0	13.6	4.43	21.0	16.2	4.78
Michael Carter-Williams	70	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-16	14	13.3	14.8	-1.50	15.7	18.6	-2.89
Khris Middleton	78	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-16	14	13.3	15.7	-2.43	16.7	15.0	1.73
Ersan Ilyasova	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-10	2	14.1	13.0	1.11	16.1	17.2	-1.07
Chris Johnson	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-4	-10	13.2	14.0	-0.85	17.0	16.2	0.85
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	-3	-12	13.8	13.7	0.04	16.4	16.6	-0.24
John Henson	31	30	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.04	-25	7	-32	13.5	13.9	-0.44	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Jerryd Bayless	47	45	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	0.13	-31	13	-44	14.4	13.1	1.24	16.1	16.7	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 100, OKC 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.19,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%