NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	6.2 [614]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +13.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	4.4 [150]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (MEM): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	14	56%	0.04	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	27	48%	-0.06	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	14	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	13	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	32.2	16.3	25.5	2.7	30.1	134.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.8%

DAL +13.4%

DAL +18.1%

MEM -5.3%

DAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	108.9	91.4	104.0
season	14.9	16.4		108.2	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	15.8	12.2	19.9	15.7
MEM	14.5	14.2	17.0	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	57	57	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.11	23	-10	33	15.8	15.3	0.51	16.6	14.5	2.15
Erick Dampier	59	62	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.21	19	-6	25	15.8	15.4	0.41	16.8	13.9	2.87
Jerry Stackhouse	56	57	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-3	19	16.2	14.7	1.48	16.7	14.4	2.24
Josh Howard	78	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-3	19	15.5	16.4	-0.88	16.0	14.1	1.96
Dirk Nowitzki	77	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	6	1	15.7	15.2	0.59	15.9	15.2	0.74
Alan Henderson	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	9	-5	14.7	16.0	-1.29	16.3	15.6	0.63
Calvin Booth	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	12	-11	13.6	16.1	-2.47	11.9	16.6	-4.76
Shawn Bradley	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	18	-23	23.6	15.2	8.41	12.4	16.0	-3.61
Marquis Daniels	46	47	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	19	-25	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.4	17.3	-2.94
Devin Harris	33	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	23	-33	15.3	15.8	-0.51	14.5	16.6	-2.15

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Humphrey	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-14	15	15.4	15.9	-0.56	16.5	15.4	1.07
Jason Williams	66	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-7	1	15.9	15.7	0.16	16.5	13.6	2.87
Mike Miller	80	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-7	1	15.4	18.6	-3.25	15.9	14.2	1.67
Shane Battier	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.8	15.8	-0.00	15.9	15.2	0.70
Pau Gasol	72	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.8	16.0	-0.24	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Dahntay Jones	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-7	1	16.3	15.6	0.73	16.6	15.3	1.31
Lorenzen Wright	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-8	3	16.2	15.6	0.61	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Earl Watson	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	15.7	15.9	-0.16	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Bonzi Wells	80	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	1	-15	16.1	14.1	2.02	15.1	18.9	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%
DAL 100, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.9%
CHA 86, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	93.9%