NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	6.4 [514]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +13.6%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	3.4 [234]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -19.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	12	42%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	8	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	11	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.27,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.24	0.01	-0.04	26	37%	0.01	6	-0.20	7	43%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	14	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	6	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	53%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	12%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.4	16.4	24.5	2.5	33.3	133.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.1%

IND -7.8%

PHI +22.8%

PHI +8.3%

PHI +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	97.8	93.4	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		102.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	15.9	14.6	14.4	15.5
IND	14.7	16.1	15.4	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	73	70	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-11	28	15.4	15.9	-0.51	16.2	14.2	2.04
Derrick Coleman	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-5	16	15.3	16.1	-0.81	16.1	15.0	1.13
Allen Iverson	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-2	10	16.0	10.5	5.52	15.7	16.3	-0.62
Eric Snow	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	2	2	15.5	15.6	-0.08	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	17.3	11.5	5.79	16.2	14.7	1.49
Brian Skinner	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	12.9	15.8	-2.94	12.4	16.1	-3.68
Greg Buckner	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	5	-4	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.9	15.7	0.11
Monty Williams	10	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	14.3	15.7	-1.40	17.6	15.6	1.96
Aaron McKie	46	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	6	-6	12.3	18.8	-6.51	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Tyrone Hill	30	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.04	-14	20	-34	17.5	14.6	2.88	15.0	16.1	-1.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	46	49	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-12	18	15.5	16.1	-0.61	15.9	15.1	0.83
Austin Croshere	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-3	0	15.8	15.7	0.07	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Jonathan Bender	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.6	15.8	-0.20	13.2	16.4	-3.27
Jeff Foster	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	7	-20	16.7	15.3	1.44	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Erick Strickland	83	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-7	8	15.6	17.5	-1.91	15.3	18.0	-2.68
Al Harrington	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-5	4	16.5	15.0	1.54	17.3	13.8	3.47
Ron Mercer	36	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	1	-8	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.4	16.3	-1.85
Jermaine O'Neal	42	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-7	8	15.8	15.7	0.10	16.6	14.6	1.98
Reggie Miller	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	15.3	16.9	-1.64	15.7	15.2	0.56
Metta World Peace	71	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.6	16.2	-0.63	15.8	14.5	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0	94.2%
MIL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,0	92.5%
HOU 104, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.03,0,0	92.3%