NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	7.1 [400]		MVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): +30.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	5.0 [162]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -14.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.10	0.02	17	84%	0.35	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.08
Sam Mack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.03	3	90%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Matt Maloney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Willis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Randy Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.11	0.02	0.00	23	42%	0.01	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.04
Charles Barkley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	6	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	21	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	20	48%	0.03	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	6.7	25.0	14.8	24.2	2.5	30.6	128.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.8%

HOU +31.6%

HOU +15.1%

MIN -18.3%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.6	113.0	104.4	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		107.2	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	14.0	16.7	12.8	15.0
MIN	17.4	17.3	15.2	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	37	35	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-1	11	14.1	15.6	-1.53	16.1	16.7	-0.66
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-4	17	14.9	15.6	-0.69	16.3	17.5	-1.26
Randy Livingston	40	38	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	13.3	16.3	-2.96	18.0	15.3	2.69
Clyde Drexler	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	3	3	15.5	11.5	3.95	16.7	14.9	1.75
Kevin Willis	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	13.4	16.1	-2.75	18.0	15.4	2.59
Matt Maloney	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	16.3	13.5	2.71	15.3	17.9	-2.67
Charles Barkley	68	67	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	16	-23	16.0	12.2	3.86	15.8	18.2	-2.43
Brent Price	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	10	-11	11.9	15.6	-3.65	17.7	16.2	1.44
Mario Elie	54	54	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	12	-15	15.8	13.9	1.96	16.1	17.0	-0.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	46	47	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-15	21	16.8	16.1	0.74	16.3	13.6	2.70
James Robinson	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	14.3	17.2	-2.83	12.6	15.9	-3.30
Stojko Vrankovic	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	16.2	16.7	-0.54	17.2	12.5	4.71
Kevin Garnett	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-10	11	15.7	19.9	-4.14	15.7	11.7	3.96
Sam Mitchell	28	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	0	-9	18.1	15.7	2.33	12.8	16.0	-3.25
Cherokee Parks	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	17.6	15.6	2.06	13.2	16.3	-3.18
Stephon Marbury	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	-1	-7	16.2	17.4	-1.20	15.7	12.6	3.03
Tom Gugliotta	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	1	-11	16.6	15.7	0.92	15.2	14.1	1.10
Terry Porter	46	46	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	5	-19	16.8	16.1	0.74	13.1	16.9	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.7%
SAC 99, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%
PHX 115, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%