NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	7.0 [448]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +29.8%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	5.1 [81]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -13.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.27	0.08	0.05	17	83%	0.43	4	-0.14	14	100%	0.11
Tyson Chandler	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	10	73%	0.21	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.09	-0.01	10	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Alan Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	5	108%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.09	-0.04	17	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	17	38%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	29.0	15.0	30.0	2.7	39.3	140.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.5%

TOR -2.7%

TOR -0.1%

TOR -11.2%

PHX +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	14.8	116.2	103.0	107.7
season	13.9	15.2		105.4	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.9	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	13.5	12.7	15.8	14.0
TOR	14.8	14.7	15.0	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	84	85	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.16	20	-8	28	14.1	13.1	0.97	15.7	11.0	4.68
PJ Tucker	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-4	20	14.3	13.3	0.97	15.3	14.5	0.80
Tyson Chandler	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-6	24	13.9	14.2	-0.31	16.1	12.1	3.94
Brandon Knight	49	49	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-5	22	14.4	13.5	0.85	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Devin Booker	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-1	14	14.2	13.1	1.08	15.0	14.8	0.20
TJ Warren	44	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	12	-12	13.0	14.7	-1.77	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Dragan Bender	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.08	12.0	15.3	-3.31
Alan Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	18.0	13.9	4.08	10.0	15.0	-5.03
Alex Len	43	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	15	-18	13.7	14.2	-0.46	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	38	37	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	22	-32	13.8	14.0	-0.19	13.8	15.7	-1.81
Tyler Ulis	16	16	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	23	-34	13.4	14.1	-0.62	10.9	15.7	-4.81

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-8	4	16.0	14.6	1.36	13.3	14.2	-0.88
Norman Powell	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-6	0	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.5	13.7	1.75
Lucas Nogueira	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.1	14.6	0.52	14.5	12.3	2.24
DeMarre Carroll	69	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	14.6	15.9	-1.38	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Terrence Ross	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-3	-6	14.3	15.6	-1.36	15.0	12.9	2.06
Jonas Valanciunas	67	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-10	8	15.3	14.4	0.83	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Kyle Lowry	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-6	0	14.8	15.8	-1.09	13.9	14.2	-0.25
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-3	-6	15.6	13.2	2.43	14.0	13.9	0.11
Cory Joseph	51	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	1	-14	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.2	13.8	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	93.4%
NYK 75, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0	92.7%
SEA 112, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.59,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.04,0	92.6%