NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	6.9 [426]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +44.6%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	3.6 [159]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -37.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	11	84%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.03	18	62%	0.26	2	-0.08	9	33%	-0.05
Darius Songaila	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	10	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	16	49%	-0.07	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45	0.45	0.30	0.18	0.04	12	112%	0.45	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	18	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	14	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	5	-0.21	3	67%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	2	17%	-0.08	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.37,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.25	-0.15	-0.02	17	19%	-0.26	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	4.3	27.8	18.6	29.6	0.8	41.2	148.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.9%

SAC +13.2%

HOU -24.8%

SAC +44.6%

SAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	17.2	15.7	104.2	100.0	100.5
season	14.7	16.5		106.9	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	13.6	12.6	13.5	13.3
HOU	15.4	17.7	16.8	19.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	82	80	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-7	19	13.0	15.2	-2.26	16.9	18.9	-2.02
Peja Stojakovic	86	85	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	13.1	14.8	-1.65	17.4	15.2	2.20
Brad Miller	86	85	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	13.1	14.8	-1.65	17.4	15.2	2.20
Bobby Jackson	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	13.4	13.1	0.28	18.1	15.8	2.30
Darius Songaila	29	29	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	-4	13	14.7	12.7	2.02	20.5	15.7	4.78
Vlade Divac	66	65	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	13	-21	13.2	13.6	-0.39	16.2	19.5	-3.28
Jabari Smith	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	16.5	13.1	3.36	16.7	17.2	-0.48
Anthony Peeler	13	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	12	-19	15.2	13.0	2.26	18.9	16.9	2.02
Doug Christie	50	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	18	-31	12.8	13.8	-1.06	14.9	19.8	-4.88

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	16	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.9	17.1	0.80	15.5	12.9	2.61
Kelvin Cato	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-4	3	16.4	18.0	-1.64	14.1	12.5	1.60
Scott Padgett	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	12.2	17.7	-5.42	8.1	13.8	-5.63
Mark Jackson	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	19.2	16.6	2.55	13.4	13.3	0.10
Steve Francis	89	90	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-6	7	16.3	33.2	-16.89	13.4	12.0	1.36
Yao Ming	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	1	-7	17.7	15.8	1.89	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Maurice Taylor	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	1	-7	18.1	15.1	2.95	13.6	12.4	1.21
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	0	-5	17.5	15.2	2.30	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Jim Jackson	74	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	6	-17	17.1	17.7	-0.62	12.9	14.9	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.4%
GSW 91, VAN 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.2%
NYK 75, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0	92.7%