inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 98 Excitement7.0 [234] MVPTom Gugliotta (PHX): +21.4%
Denver Nuggets 87 Comeback8.1 [124] LVPJohnny Taylor (DEN): -27.1%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0.210,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.070.14-0.001563%0.241-0.03580%0.00
Chris Morris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.060.03756%0.0500.004100%0.01
George McCloud0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.011150%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luc Longley0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01375%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Alvin Sims-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.060.011860%0.032-0.05683%0.02
Toby Bailey-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00410%-0.1000.00250%-0.02
Danny Manning-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.00717%-0.161-0.02475%-0.01
Jason Kidd-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2-0.12-0.09-0.001634%-0.143-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.040.005110%0.1600.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.030.06-0.031350%0.133-0.0700%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.15-0.050.061183%0.081-0.042100%0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.01674%0.063-0.06757%-0.02
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00536%-0.021-0.0410%-0.02
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.011544%-0.052-0.072100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.031437%-0.025-0.13250%-0.01
Johnny Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.15-0.12-0.0040%-0.134-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.93.427.315.423.22.430.7125.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -34.5%
PHX +8.8%
PHX +51.9%
PHX +26.0%
DEN -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game17.815.815.8114.0102.499.6
season15.315.5102.7100.7
opponent15.615.9107.6101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX17.317.614.223.317.8
DEN14.014.318.516.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta66660.68-0.180.860.2714-31717.618.7-1.1115.815.9-0.16
Chris Morris30290.65-0.150.810.2713-21521.216.15.1015.216.2-0.99
Jason Kidd82800.56-0.060.620.2112-11317.526.0-8.5516.013.03.00
Clifford Robinson71720.54-0.040.580.1314-31718.514.83.6916.214.02.15
George McCloud57570.410.090.310.0213-21516.221.1-4.8616.913.63.31
Danny Manning51470.070.43-0.370.10-112-1318.217.30.9516.315.31.01
Luc Longley25260.020.48-0.46-0.01110-915.019.0-3.9614.916.2-1.35
Alvin Sims99-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-213-1519.217.71.5314.216.0-1.79
Toby Bailey1920-0.130.63-0.760.05-617-2318.817.61.2712.616.8-4.15
Pat Garrity2019-0.180.68-0.86-0.09-314-1718.717.61.1115.915.80.16

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carl Herrera1918-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-9718.415.13.3514.718.7-3.95
Eric Washington4443-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-9716.515.11.4520.015.74.30
Danny Fortson4447-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-4-315.116.6-1.4218.117.60.52
Johnny Taylor5050-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-3-516.315.11.2118.317.21.03
Bryant Stith7576-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.12-9-2-715.915.30.5916.429.1-12.73
Chauncey Billups6162-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.15-8-3-515.217.3-2.1017.518.6-1.08
Antonio McDyess6061-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.24-7-4-314.918.0-3.0319.314.35.03
Nick Van Exel7273-0.520.02-0.55-0.17-121-1316.015.10.8817.519.9-2.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.65,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.16,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, CLE 870.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,093.4%
DET 104, POR 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,092.1%
CLE 106, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,091.7%