NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	6.3 [329]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +19.9%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	3.9 [254]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -22.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.08	-0.02	15	67%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	7	37%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.03	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	12	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	19	61%	0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	12	39%	-0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	8	-0.23	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	29.8	15.0	26.2	1.7	30.3	127.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.5%

POR +0.4%

POR +18.5%

POR +8.9%

NJN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.8	95.9	88.5	99.6
season	16.0	15.0		102.0	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.9	12.9	14.1	19.1	14.8
NJN	12.8	15.9	15.3	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	64	63	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-7	23	15.2	14.1	1.01	15.4	13.9	1.44
Walt Williams	63	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-2	13	15.7	13.3	2.41	15.0	14.6	0.47
Greg Anthony	36	35	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-4	17	16.8	13.6	3.16	15.9	14.3	1.57
Brian Grant	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	0	9	15.1	14.1	1.01	14.2	16.7	-2.48
Jim Jackson	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	0	9	15.8	13.9	1.90	15.3	14.5	0.81
Stacey Augmon	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	8	-7	12.7	15.3	-2.62	15.6	14.7	0.89
Isaiah Rider	66	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	12	-15	13.9	16.7	-2.89	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Damon Stoudamire	62	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	13.6	16.8	-3.16	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Arvydas Sabonis	61	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	16	-23	14.1	15.9	-1.83	15.1	14.5	0.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	17	20	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-11	13	13.8	15.1	-1.29	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Chris Gatling	26	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-9	9	14.3	15.1	-0.74	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Kerry Kittles	80	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.7	15.9	-1.19	14.8	14.6	0.24
Scott Burrell	47	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	15.9	13.9	1.93	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Keith Van Horn	70	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	15.1	14.3	0.74	15.0	14.3	0.66
Kendall Gill	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	14.5	16.0	-1.51	15.0	14.4	0.60
Eric Murdock	90	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	-1	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.48	15.0	11.7	3.33
Jayson Williams	79	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	2	-13	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.0	14.1	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.15,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.6%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.4%
DET 87, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	92.3%