NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	6.6 [529]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (WAS): +21.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	7.4 [75]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -15.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.16	-0.00	9	61%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	58%	0.06	4	-0.08	16	81%	0.04
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	46%	-0.11	1	-0.02	17	71%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	11	46%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	9	56%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	26	50%	-0.00	5	-0.11	10	60%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	16	29%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.2	14.8	34.2	2.6	36.3	141.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.2%

WAS +29.6%

CLE -19.6%

WAS +8.4%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.5	107.1	101.0	104.0
season	14.7	16.2		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.1	15.0	12.7	13.4	14.5
CLE	12.9	19.2	15.7	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	86	85	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-6	21	14.2	16.5	-2.38	14.5	19.5	-4.95
Gilbert Arenas	99	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.5	0.0	14.47	15.1	0.0	15.07
Anthony Peeler	49	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	6	-3	14.8	14.2	0.56	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Michael Ruffin	31	32	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	7	-5	15.0	14.2	0.72	14.9	15.2	-0.25
Etan Thomas	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	15.4	14.0	1.33	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Brendan Haywood	62	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	1	7	14.2	14.9	-0.62	15.1	15.1	0.03
Jared Jeffries	66	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	5	-1	14.2	15.0	-0.74	15.3	14.7	0.57
Laron Profit	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	4	1	13.4	14.7	-1.28	21.3	13.7	7.56
Samaki Walker	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	8	-7	11.6	14.6	-3.03	18.0	14.9	3.09
Jarvis Hayes	48	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	13	-17	15.1	13.8	1.30	15.1	15.0	0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	35	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-16	23	15.8	14.7	1.10	15.4	14.0	1.39
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	15.1	15.0	0.13	15.6	13.0	2.64
Eric Snow	92	95	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	15.1	15.2	-0.18	14.6	11.2	3.36
Ira Newble	61	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-11	13	13.3	18.1	-4.79	14.8	13.9	0.95
Lucious Harris	45	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	5	-19	16.4	13.9	2.58	13.1	15.6	-2.53
Robert Traylor	26	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	4	-17	16.7	14.5	2.22	13.5	14.8	-1.32
LeBron James	96	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.1	0.0	15.07	14.5	0.0	14.47
Drew Gooden	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	3	-15	14.7	16.0	-1.31	13.9	16.1	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.15,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%
LAL 105, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0	92.5%
DAL 102, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.9%