NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	5.5 [732]		MVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	9.5 [67]		LVP	Tim Thomas (PHX): -10.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.08	0.06	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	20	49%	0.06	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	16	53%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	16	71%	0.26	6	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	63%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	12	58%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.06	6	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	35.0	19.8	27.0	4.5	39.5	156.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +3.4%

DAL +10.3%

DAL +19.5%

DAL +16.1%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	13.9	15.6	109.7	100.0	104.4
season	16.4	13.8		109.0	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		105.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.6	18.0	15.4	15.4	17.1
PHX	10.8	16.3	18.0	11.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	52	54	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.17	22	-13	35	15.6	18.9	-3.29	14.5	13.1	1.47
Jerry Stackhouse	80	78	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-3	15	17.0	17.3	-0.28	13.5	16.1	-2.66
Josh Howard	88	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	16.8	21.0	-4.16	14.1	11.2	2.86
Dirk Nowitzki	86	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	16.8	20.7	-3.95	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Adrian Griffin	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-6	21	16.0	20.3	-4.36	14.5	11.9	2.61
DeSagana Diop	37	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	15	-21	19.1	15.7	3.30	14.2	13.7	0.43
Marquis Daniels	23	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	10	-11	17.6	16.9	0.72	14.8	13.7	1.11
Keith Van Horn	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	15	-21	23.6	16.5	7.04	10.8	14.1	-3.28
Devin Harris	22	22	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.13	-13	22	-35	20.1	16.1	4.02	11.1	14.8	-3.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	70	69	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-7	5	13.9	14.0	-0.13	16.0	20.1	-4.07
James Jones	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.7	13.4	1.28	16.2	17.7	-1.44
Tim Thomas	53	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	14.7	12.9	1.80	19.1	14.1	4.96
Shawn Marion	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-4	-1	13.7	22.5	-8.79	17.0	20.5	-3.51
Boris Diaw	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-3	-3	13.6	15.6	-1.99	16.6	19.8	-3.20
Steve Nash	83	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	13.9	13.9	0.00	16.8	19.0	-2.20
Leandro Barbosa	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	13.3	14.6	-1.22	18.2	15.6	2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0	93.7%
NOH 94, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
ATL 82, BOS 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%