NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	5.9 [657]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +4.7%
Boston Celtics	76		Comeback	17.4 [46]		LVP	Gerald Green (BOS): -20.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	19	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	19	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Shelden Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.17	4	50%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	14	49%	-0.04	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	11	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	9	5%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	16	38%	-0.10	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	29.7	14.8	27.2	2.5	36.5	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.3%

BOS -1.9%

ATL +20.5%

BOS -4.7%

ATL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.4	90.1	83.5	104.5
season	16.1	15.5		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.2	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	16.4	17.0	15.5	16.1
BOS	14.8	15.7	16.5	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	70	71	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-15	36	16.3	15.6	0.67	16.2	12.9	3.29
Shelden Williams	37	38	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-5	16	16.8	15.6	1.19	16.1	15.1	1.01
Zaza Pachulia	50	50	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.33	10	-4	14	17.1	15.0	2.06	16.5	14.4	2.09
Josh Childress	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	16.0	17.0	-1.00	15.2	17.7	-2.54
Marvin Williams	64	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	7	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.50	15.6	15.4	0.20
Josh Smith	69	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.22	-2	8	-10	15.9	17.0	-1.14	14.9	17.5	-2.68
Salim Stoudamire	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.10	3	3	0	13.5	16.3	-2.82	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Lorenzen Wright	27	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	8	-10	15.9	16.2	-0.35	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Royal Ivey	15	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	13	-20	11.3	17.1	-5.83	12.8	16.1	-3.25
Tyronn Lue	38	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	20	-34	17.5	15.2	2.30	15.9	15.3	0.62

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	67	65	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-10	14	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.5	15.2	1.37
Allan Ray	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-8	10	14.3	16.2	-1.86	16.4	16.0	0.46
Leon Powe	20	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	18.1	14.8	3.31	17.9	15.7	2.23
Sebastian Telfair	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	14.0	16.0	-2.09	14.7	16.6	-1.98
Gerald Green	59	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-9	12	15.3	15.9	-0.55	16.5	15.3	1.21
Delonte West	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-7	8	15.1	17.5	-2.41	15.3	20.1	-4.79
Rajon Rondo	39	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	8	-22	15.7	15.4	0.35	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Kendrick Perkins	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-3	0	15.8	14.9	0.88	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Ryan Gomes	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	3	-12	16.0	13.5	2.51	16.7	13.7	3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%
CLE 84, UTA 71	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	92.7%
LAL 105, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0	92.4%