NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	6.2 [612]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +7.5%
Utah Jazz	71		Comeback	10.3 [51]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -23.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	22	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.03	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.10
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	20	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	14	64%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	3	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	11	45%	-0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	4	69%	-0.02	6	-0.21	8	87%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	87%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	13	32%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.06
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	9	37%	-0.07	3	-0.05	6	50%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	14	34%	-0.15	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	27.2	14.6	30.3	2.7	36.3	137.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.9%

CLE +6.3%

UTA -6.7%

CLE +30.4%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.5	94.4	80.7	104.0
season	16.2	16.7		104.6	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.9	15.1	15.0	15.6	16.0
UTA	17.1	19.1	15.7	14.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	2	9	16.0	16.3	-0.26	15.8	21.5	-5.66
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	44	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-1	15	16.9	15.3	1.63	17.5	15.5	2.05
Eric Snow	37	36	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.5	16.4	-0.91	16.4	16.6	-0.24
Jeff McInnis	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-1	15	16.3	13.7	2.65	16.8	14.1	2.66
Drew Gooden	47	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	6	1	16.6	15.5	1.12	17.0	15.9	1.12
Anderson Varejao	47	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	6	1	15.6	16.6	-1.04	16.5	16.5	0.02
Lucious Harris	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	8	-3	16.8	15.8	0.94	20.0	15.4	4.53
Ira Newble	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	15	-17	16.2	15.9	0.32	15.6	17.3	-1.62
Robert Traylor	42	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.1	16.9	-1.71	14.7	18.0	-3.21
Sasha Pavlovic	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	13.9	16.3	-2.42	16.6	16.5	0.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Curtis Borchardt	37	36	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.16	17	-30	47	14.9	17.7	-2.82	18.9	14.1	4.73
Keith McLeod	39	40	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-16	19	18.7	14.8	3.94	17.0	15.2	1.78
Kris Humphries	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-9	5	32.0	16.3	15.68	0.0	16.2	-16.23
Raul Lopez	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-10	7	15.5	16.9	-1.42	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Raja Bell	44	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-5	-3	15.6	17.4	-1.82	15.0	17.3	-2.27
Kirk Snyder	9	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-9	5	15.0	16.7	-1.67	16.1	16.0	0.05
Howard Eisley	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-8	3	15.1	17.6	-2.46	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Gordan Giricek	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	16.7	16.2	0.48	16.9	15.1	1.80
Carlos Boozer	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	2	-17	16.8	15.3	1.51	16.1	16.0	0.06
Matt Harpring	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.06	-17	4	-21	16.6	16.2	0.47	16.1	15.9	0.17
Mehmet Okur	63	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.05	-21	8	-29	17.3	14.4	2.88	14.8	19.2	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.2,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, BOS 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	92.7%
LAL 101, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0	92.7%
DAL 102, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.0%