inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 95 Excitement8.4 [250] MVPTroy Brown Jr. (WAS): +29.9%
Denver Nuggets 90 Comeback4.6 [60] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -22.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Brown Jr.0.300,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.190.110.001673%0.3000.001100%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.250,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.250.070.18-0.001657%0.271-0.02367%-0.01
Bradley Beal0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.04-0.011646%0.072-0.045100%0.08
Wesley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chasson Randle-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.02-0.01631%-0.012-0.04475%0.01
Jabari Parker-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.00-0.100.011653%0.063-0.17650%-0.02
Bobby Portis-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.040.00911%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Jordan McRae-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.110.00937%-0.072-0.101100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.030.031570%0.182-0.07333%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00867%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Torrey Craig00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01831%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00430%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021027%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.01-0.110.01760%0.033-0.161100%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.021532%-0.111-0.0310%-0.03
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.090.001337%-0.091-0.06978%-0.00
Gary Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.14-0.021335%-0.163-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.625.214.525.42.336.4130.7
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +56.7%
WAS +5.3%
DEN -13.5%
DEN -4.4%
WAS +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game14.614.414.396.090.0109.3
season13.814.8109.8112.0
opponent14.614.3108.1112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.114.016.515.014.6
DEN13.014.814.815.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Brown Jr.85860.61-0.110.730.3210-51515.012.12.8314.513.41.18
Tomas Satoransky72730.58-0.080.650.348-31114.813.90.9414.813.11.67
Thomas Bryant82820.470.030.440.3541315.012.62.3314.414.10.38
Jordan McRae44460.450.050.410.0115-102513.215.7-2.4314.314.4-0.08
Jabari Parker66670.320.180.150.127-2913.816.1-2.3214.115.0-0.90
Bobby Portis44440.250.250.010.2314-315.713.71.9914.814.10.72
Bradley Beal74740.040.46-0.420.33-1015-2515.212.82.3814.115.2-1.06
Chasson Randle1414-0.110.61-0.730.03-510-1512.115.0-2.8313.414.5-1.18
Wesley Johnson1414-0.110.61-0.730.03-510-1512.115.0-2.8313.414.5-1.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles21210.07-0.570.640.10-1-4313.714.6-0.8914.514.6-0.07
Jamal Murray44460.05-0.550.610.021-6714.314.4-0.1315.014.20.71
Torrey Craig3130-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-2-113.214.9-1.6613.914.9-1.02
Nikola Jokic6363-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-6714.713.80.9714.514.7-0.14
Will Barton5859-0.20-0.300.11-0.314-91314.913.71.1715.413.32.10
Malik Beasley4240-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-94-1313.714.9-1.1713.315.4-2.10
Paul Millsap6363-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.412-7914.514.20.2915.113.71.34
Gary Harris6969-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-2-3114.913.21.6614.913.91.02
Monte Morris5653-0.550.05-0.61-0.38-61-714.414.30.1314.215.0-0.71
Mason Plumlee5351-0.590.09-0.68-0.24-127-1914.114.7-0.5914.115.1-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 87, LAC 780.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.22,0,093.0%
LAL 100, MEM 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.08,091.6%
CLE 88, PHI 810.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,091.3%