NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	6.6 [451]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +26.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	78		Comeback	7.5 [118]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -13.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,0.02,0.1,0.26,0.26	0.06	0.21	0.01	15	66%	0.40	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.10	0.02	10	76%	0.25	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.02	5	40%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.02	14	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	19	47%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	9	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.5	16.4	29.4	2.7	31.4	134.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.0%

MIL +3.1%

MIL +8.4%

LAC -4.5%

MIL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	16.8	15.4	101.2	92.9	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.4	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.5	16.2	15.5	19.0	17.0
LAC	15.2	17.2	19.0	16.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	70	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-1	11	17.5	15.1	2.42	16.5	18.4	-1.89
Mo Williams	69	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	2	5	17.1	16.8	0.26	16.5	18.2	-1.74
Yi Jianlian	50	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	17.0	17.1	-0.18	16.5	17.2	-0.72
Bobby Simmons	40	41	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	17.1	17.0	0.07	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Charlie Bell	28	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	3	3	17.5	16.8	0.74	18.6	15.9	2.70
Michael Redd	75	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	4	1	16.8	18.6	-1.84	16.5	19.3	-2.79
Desmond Mason	46	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	8	-7	17.0	17.1	-0.07	17.6	16.0	1.60
Charlie Villanueva	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	12	-15	17.1	17.0	0.18	17.2	16.5	0.72
Jake Voskuhl	16	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	10	-11	15.1	17.5	-2.42	18.4	16.5	1.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	10	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-9	9	19.0	16.6	2.45	12.5	17.5	-5.00
Brevin Knight	48	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-10	11	16.9	16.8	0.02	17.2	16.9	0.30
Ruben Patterson	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-7	5	16.4	16.9	-0.52	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Paul Davis	8	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	20.6	16.4	4.18	17.2	17.0	0.24
Corey Maggette	66	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	17.0	16.2	0.86	17.2	16.4	0.82
Chris Kaman	70	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	16.4	18.9	-2.41	17.7	13.2	4.50
Cuttino Mobley	47	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.7	17.0	-0.28	17.0	17.1	-0.17
Quinton Ross	55	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	0	-9	16.7	17.1	-0.34	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Dan Dickau	36	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	16.8	16.9	-0.02	16.9	17.2	-0.30
Tim Thomas	72	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	-1	-7	16.6	18.5	-1.93	17.1	16.6	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.22,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	93.0%
WAS 95, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.04,0	93.0%
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.4%