NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	7.8 [327]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +25.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	3.8 [610]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): -23.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.07	0.18	-0.00	21	56%	0.27	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	12	64%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Julius Randle	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.08,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	15	53%	0.17	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.00
Travis Wear	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	40%	-0.08	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Brook Lopez	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	8	36%	-0.16	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.08

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.02	10	85%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.05
Andrew Harrison	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	15	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	14	33%	-0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	25.2	14.0	27.3	2.3	38.6	134.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.5%

MEM -12.2%

LAL +12.3%

MEM -3.5%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	16.9	14.7	107.5	100.0	107.5
season	13.7	15.4		105.7	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	14.1	12.4	13.9	14.1
MEM	13.0	17.8	18.9	18.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	80	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	0	7	14.0	14.5	-0.42	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Travis Wear	36	35	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-7	21	13.7	14.4	-0.66	18.7	15.7	3.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	0	7	14.1	14.1	0.01	17.2	14.1	3.10
Lonzo Ball	82	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.30	17.0	15.9	1.10
Brook Lopez	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	14.2	13.8	0.41	16.3	18.5	-2.25
Julius Randle	74	73	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	15	-23	14.2	13.8	0.39	17.1	16.2	0.85
Ivica Zubac	8	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.14	6	1	5	14.2	14.1	0.17	12.6	17.3	-4.78
Tyler Ennis	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	1	5	14.3	14.0	0.35	16.1	17.4	-1.29

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	66	68	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-16	25	17.1	16.2	0.91	14.7	12.4	2.27
Kobi Simmons	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-2	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.17	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Mario Chalmers	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.7	17.5	-1.82	13.7	14.3	-0.67
Deyonta Davis	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	0	-7	16.3	17.1	-0.86	14.4	13.9	0.51
Dillon Brooks	67	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-10	13	16.9	16.7	0.25	14.4	13.1	1.37
Marc Gasol	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-7	7	17.1	16.3	0.86	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Jarell Martin	75	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	0	-7	16.8	17.3	-0.50	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Andrew Harrison	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	17.6	14.7	2.83	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Wayne Selden	41	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	9	-25	16.7	17.0	-0.29	13.6	14.5	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.05,0	92.0%
MIL 99, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,0	91.9%
WAS 95, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.04,0	91.6%