NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.7 [247]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +32.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.6 [618]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -23.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	14	61%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.02	7	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	18	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	13	46%	-0.10
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	-0.03	14	49%	0.03	2	-0.06	9	89%	-0.12
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.14	0.01	25	64%	0.36	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	6	64%	0.11	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.08	0.04	7	22%	-0.18	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	29.7	16.6	28.4	1.7	44.3	148.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.2%

LAC -9.7%

MIN +24.1%

LAC -1.8%

MIN +14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	17.4	15.6	104.4	106.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.3		106.0	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	15.0	14.7	12.4	14.8
MIN	14.9	16.9	16.7	21.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	31	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-2	3	14.9	14.8	0.07	17.3	17.4	-0.12
Caron Butler	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	0	-1	14.4	15.1	-0.64	16.7	17.8	-1.18
Eric Bledsoe	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-2	3	16.1	14.3	1.76	17.3	17.4	-0.09
Reggie Evans	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	4	-9	16.4	14.4	1.96	17.4	17.4	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	2	-5	15.0	14.7	0.34	16.0	18.6	-2.56
Bobby Simmons	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-1	1	15.2	14.3	0.89	18.0	16.5	1.56
Blake Griffin	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	14.4	16.4	-1.96	17.4	17.4	0.02
Chris Paul	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	1	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.30	17.3	17.6	-0.37
Kenyon Martin	48	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.4	15.4	-1.00	18.6	16.0	2.56
Mo Williams	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.47	-2	1	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.07	17.4	17.3	0.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	80	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-7	15	17.4	17.2	0.17	14.8	15.4	-0.69
Luke Ridnour	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-5	11	17.6	16.4	1.20	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Darko Milicic	53	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-11	23	16.1	19.3	-3.25	15.5	13.8	1.74
Ricky Rubio	53	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-3	7	17.0	17.9	-0.87	14.3	15.6	-1.23
Wesley Johnson	48	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-7	15	15.8	19.2	-3.47	15.8	13.8	1.96
Michael Beasley	32	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	3	-5	19.4	16.2	3.18	15.7	14.3	1.37
Jose Juan Barea	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	4	-7	18.1	16.9	1.22	15.2	14.6	0.62
Martell Webster	22	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.28	-10	11	-21	16.9	17.5	-0.61	13.1	15.4	-2.33
Derrick Williams	45	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.30	-18	19	-37	18.9	15.8	3.07	14.1	15.5	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.62,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	92.6%
SAC 117, ATL 123	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%
SAC 88, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%