NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	6.7 [443]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +24.4%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	1.5 [797]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.03	16	66%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.08	-0.01	0.06	14	59%	0.08	2	-0.07	11	55%	-0.05
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.05	19	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	13	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.09	0.04	10	81%	0.28	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	13	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	80%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	17	67%	0.09	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	30.0	16.0	28.2	2.6	47.0	150.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.8%

ATL +20.4%

ATL +1.4%

SAC -15.2%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.0	15.4	113.6	119.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.4		105.6	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.0		107.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	13.8	16.7	12.3	14.0
ATL	14.8	16.3	12.1	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	3.7	14.3	-10.62	0.7	14.5	-13.77
Francisco Garcia	54	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-19	32	13.7	14.2	-0.50	15.5	12.2	3.24
Anthony Johnson	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-9	12	16.6	13.4	3.19	16.9	13.4	3.59
Spencer Hawes	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-8	10	15.8	13.6	2.14	16.4	13.5	2.91
John Salmons	43	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-9	12	14.5	13.6	0.83	15.5	13.0	2.49
Shelden Williams	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-4	2	19.8	13.7	6.12	15.6	13.9	1.70
Metta World Peace	82	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-6	6	13.9	14.3	-0.38	13.5	15.8	-2.30
Beno Udrih	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	3	-12	13.4	16.6	-3.19	13.4	16.9	-3.59
Brad Miller	87	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	2	-10	13.7	15.6	-1.87	13.5	16.9	-3.38
Kevin Martin	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	13	-32	14.0	14.0	-0.00	11.8	16.2	-4.39
Mikki Moore	70	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	8	-22	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.8	12.4	2.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	96	96	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-2	10	13.7	18.1	-4.47	14.0	13.1	0.90
Mike Bibby	78	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-6	18	13.8	14.7	-0.92	14.3	12.9	1.43
Zaza Pachulia	34	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-3	12	14.4	13.8	0.56	15.0	13.5	1.50
Josh Childress	68	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	8	-10	13.9	14.2	-0.38	13.1	15.5	-2.37
Josh Smith	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	6	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.96	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Solomon Jones	12	11	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	1	4	14.9	13.9	1.06	17.3	13.6	3.69
Mario West	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	0	6	12.8	14.6	-1.79	14.4	13.8	0.58
Al Horford	90	89	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	12	-18	14.0	14.2	-0.20	13.4	17.4	-3.99
Salim Stoudamire	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	17.3	13.1	4.21	14.2	13.9	0.33
Jeremy Richardson	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	9	-12	16.4	13.7	2.67	14.5	13.9	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.6%
GSW 107, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
SAC 88, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%