NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	5.2 [768]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +7.4%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.1 [623]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.03	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	23	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	23	54%	-0.06	3	-0.11	11	27%	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	14	69%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	8	52%	-0.03	4	-0.08	13	85%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	27.3	16.3	23.6	2.4	43.4	138.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.7%

SAC +8.8%

LAL -1.6%

LAL -4.5%

SAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	17.3	13.4	15.6	96.8	103.2	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		106.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.3	15.3	18.4	16.4	17.3
SAC	11.5	15.3	14.4	12.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	39	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-15	24	15.8	18.4	-2.59	14.9	12.4	2.50
Mitch Richmond	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	19.2	17.1	2.15	16.5	13.1	3.44
Robert Horry	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-6	6	15.9	18.8	-2.99	14.4	12.2	2.21
Derek Fisher	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-10	14	15.7	20.1	-4.48	14.1	12.1	1.98
Lindsey Hunter	34	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	4	-14	20.1	15.7	4.48	12.1	14.1	-1.98
Samaki Walker	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	8	-22	19.0	16.0	3.02	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Rick Fox	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	17.7	15.8	1.83	12.4	17.4	-4.99
Shaquille O'Neal	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	17.5	15.8	1.66	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	1	-8	17.3	17.2	0.04	13.0	16.1	-3.13

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	84	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-7	20	12.9	17.4	-4.53	17.3	17.4	-0.15
Vlade Divac	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-9	24	12.8	14.5	-1.70	19.1	14.0	5.11
Peja Stojakovic	85	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-1	8	12.9	17.9	-5.02	17.6	14.3	3.34
Doug Christie	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-1	8	12.2	17.6	-5.46	17.9	15.2	2.65
Scot Pollard	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-1	8	13.9	12.3	1.63	17.5	16.8	0.67
Hedo Turkoglu	48	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	17	-28	14.9	11.7	3.20	15.6	19.2	-3.69
Bobby Jackson	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	12	-18	14.2	12.7	1.56	15.9	18.4	-2.50
Lawrence Funderburke	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	17.8	12.6	5.22	13.8	17.9	-4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.9%
ORL 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%