NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	5.5 [686]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): +12.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	1.2 [1155]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (ORL): -10.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	16	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.05
JJ Redick	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	16	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Ish Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	0.01	-0.06	14	25%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.02	-0.06	9	61%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	16	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	16	54%	0.08	6	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	28.6	15.6	24.8	1.6	34.4	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.1%

MIL +8.2%

ORL -4.5%

MIL +12.9%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.4	100.0	107.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.7		100.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	15.0	16.4	13.9	15.1
MIL	13.4	14.4	15.7	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeQuan Jones	37	39	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-17	25	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.7	14.2	-0.45
Josh McRoberts	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-14	19	13.7	15.8	-2.07	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Hedo Turkoglu	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.5	15.0	0.42	14.2	14.0	0.20
Kyle O'Quinn	23	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	17.3	14.4	2.85	15.0	13.8	1.24
Andrew Nicholson	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.6	14.9	0.62	14.6	13.9	0.73
Gustavo Ayon	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	0	-9	15.8	15.0	0.79	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Nikola Vucevic	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-12	15	14.5	16.4	-1.90	14.4	13.2	1.12
JJ Redick	81	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-9	9	15.1	14.9	0.17	14.2	13.2	0.99
Ish Smith	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	7	-23	15.2	15.0	0.21	14.4	13.7	0.64
E'Twaun Moore	72	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	4	-17	15.4	14.3	1.05	13.6	15.2	-1.63
Maurice Harkless	86	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	0	-9	14.9	16.3	-1.43	14.1	13.2	1.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	70	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-8	25	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Monta Ellis	92	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	13.8	16.6	-2.83	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Larry Sanders	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-2	13	13.4	15.7	-2.26	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Brandon Jennings	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-4	17	13.4	15.4	-2.03	15.2	14.9	0.26
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	49	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	-3	15	14.5	13.5	0.92	16.1	14.0	2.08
Ekpe Udoh	14	13	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	8	-7	15.6	13.8	1.89	15.6	15.0	0.62
Beno Udrih	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	13	-17	15.4	13.4	2.03	14.9	15.2	-0.26
John Henson	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	14.8	13.7	1.12	15.5	14.9	0.57
Mike Dunleavy	52	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	15	-21	13.3	14.8	-1.48	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Marquis Daniels	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	14	-19	16.6	13.8	2.83	15.1	15.1	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	15.7	13.8	1.97	14.8	15.1	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 78, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
CHI 90, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%