NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	78		Excitement	4.3 [934]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +14.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.2 [1228]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -9.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nathan Jawai	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	11	36%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	21	43%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	13	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	9	80%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	51%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.02	-0.07	9	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.04	5	71%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.2	15.7	24.4	4.3	33.4	135.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.5%

MIN -5.1%

MIN -1.3%

POR +2.6%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	18.1	15.3	91.8	124.7	106.0
season	14.7	16.7		100.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	14.8		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	16.8	16.7	15.9	15.8
POR	18.9	19.2	16.0	18.4	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	17	16	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-27	26	14.3	16.2	-1.87	20.5	17.5	2.96
Wayne Ellington	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	13.0	16.0	-3.00	22.2	17.8	4.38
Corey Brewer	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-20	12	14.5	17.1	-2.64	18.1	18.0	0.10
Damien Wilkins	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-18	8	16.3	15.6	0.74	18.7	17.8	0.89
Ramon Sessions	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-15	2	15.1	16.3	-1.16	19.2	17.2	1.94
Ryan Hollins	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-21	14	14.2	16.6	-2.40	18.4	18.0	0.39
Oleksiy Pecherov	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.20	-16	-12	-4	16.3	15.1	1.17	18.3	17.8	0.55
Ryan Gomes	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.28	-19	-9	-10	15.9	15.6	0.29	17.3	19.5	-2.17
Jonny Flynn	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-10	-8	15.9	15.5	0.38	18.0	18.4	-0.42
Sasha Pavlovic	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	-7	-14	17.8	14.3	3.49	17.4	18.7	-1.26
Al Jefferson	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.27	-28	0	-28	16.5	13.5	2.93	17.1	21.5	-4.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	59	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	9	10	17.2	20.2	-2.97	16.1	15.2	0.86
Steve Blake	54	54	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	11	6	16.0	21.8	-5.79	16.0	15.4	0.68
Martell Webster	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.42	26	2	24	17.1	20.1	-2.95	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Greg Oden	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	18	-8	17.3	19.0	-1.66	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Dante Cunningham	17	16	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	17	-6	15.3	18.8	-3.50	16.2	15.7	0.49
Joel Przybilla	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.32	19	9	10	18.4	17.9	0.52	17.2	14.8	2.35
Rudy Fernandez	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.29	17	11	6	19.6	16.7	2.93	16.1	15.5	0.68
LaMarcus Aldridge	39	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	11	6	18.1	18.1	0.06	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Juwan Howard	35	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	29	-30	20.1	16.7	3.43	16.1	15.6	0.54
Andre Miller	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.37	12	16	-4	20.8	16.4	4.40	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	11	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	35	-42	24.6	17.1	7.51	13.1	16.3	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 83, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 97, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%