NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	4.5 [898]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +12.9%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.1 [1043]		LVP	Dominic McGuire (WAS): -13.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	13	69%	0.15	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	38%	0.00	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	10	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	10	36%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	4	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.13	14	64%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	24.2	16.5	24.2	2.5	26.3	118.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.9%

ORL +0.6%

ORL +13.9%

ORL +13.0%

ORL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.8	15.4	98.8	119.8	105.7
season	16.1	15.1		106.8	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		104.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.3	15.6	17.1	16.1	17.0
ORL	14.3	20.4	17.2	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	25	24	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-26	32	14.5	18.1	-3.60	18.1	16.3	1.79
Antonio Daniels	37	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-22	24	15.9	17.9	-1.97	17.1	16.6	0.47
Brendan Haywood	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-19	18	16.6	17.2	-0.56	14.3	17.5	-3.17
Darius Songaila	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-18	16	16.0	17.9	-1.88	17.9	16.1	1.77
Andray Blatche	58	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-5	-10	16.9	17.5	-0.60	17.6	14.9	2.76
Dominic McGuire	66	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-1	-18	17.3	16.2	1.12	16.0	20.1	-4.09
Oleksiy Pecherov	66	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	-1	-18	17.4	15.8	1.62	17.1	15.8	1.34
Roger Mason Jr.	55	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.08	-26	6	-32	18.1	15.0	3.13	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Nick Young	59	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	0.07	-26	6	-32	18.1	14.5	3.60	16.3	18.1	-1.79

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	0	20	16.8	16.9	-0.19	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Carlos Arroyo	61	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	5	10	15.6	19.8	-4.18	17.5	16.1	1.35
Keyon Dooling	34	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	5	10	19.0	15.4	3.63	17.0	17.1	-0.13
James Augustine	32	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	4	12	16.3	17.2	-0.89	16.8	17.2	-0.33
Marcin Gortat	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	9	2	17.2	16.3	0.98	15.8	18.8	-2.98
Hedo Turkoglu	29	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	11	-2	15.3	17.6	-2.30	19.1	16.0	3.14
Dwight Howard	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	15	-10	14.3	17.7	-3.45	19.3	16.3	3.05
Maurice Evans	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	17	-14	15.3	17.9	-2.60	18.1	16.4	1.77
Adonal Foyle	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	16	-12	19.6	16.3	3.27	18.0	16.9	1.13
Rashard Lewis	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	18	-16	17.2	16.6	0.61	17.4	16.8	0.61
Pat Garrity	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	21	-22	18.8	15.6	3.17	15.7	17.8	-2.10
JJ Redick	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	19	-18	17.8	15.8	2.00	15.3	19.0	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.9%
ATL 85, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 78, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%