NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	6.0 [639]		MVP	Rashad McCants (SAC): +18.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.2 [798]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -17.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	20	65%	0.28	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	21	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	12	21%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	14	32%	-0.10	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	13	68%	0.19	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	90%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	8	87%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	12	48%	-0.01	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	6	57%	0.07	7	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	29.1	15.8	26.1	2.7	33.0	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +47.0%

CHA +6.7%

CHA +16.4%

SAC -29.9%

CHA +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.5	100.0	115.6	106.4
season	15.0	16.5		104.0	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.1		104.5	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	15.4	15.0	20.6	16.3
CHA	13.4	20.6	15.0	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	22.2	15.9	6.28	12.4	16.3	-3.91
Will Solomon	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-19	22	16.5	16.2	0.27	18.1	15.7	2.35
Calvin Booth	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-15	14	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Spencer Hawes	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	-5	-6	15.8	16.7	-0.89	17.2	14.9	2.31
Donte Greene	47	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-7	-2	17.7	14.6	3.07	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Jason Thompson	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	1	-18	15.7	19.0	-3.33	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Beno Udrih	78	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	0	-16	16.5	14.5	2.00	15.5	20.7	-5.19
Rashad McCants	71	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-5	-6	15.8	18.4	-2.58	16.6	13.9	2.72
Francisco Garcia	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	3	-22	16.0	21.5	-5.48	16.3	11.5	4.80

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-1	18	15.6	18.6	-3.01	16.3	16.0	0.33
Raymond Felton	64	62	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-4	24	15.0	18.8	-3.88	15.8	17.4	-1.58
Gerald Wallace	75	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-1	18	16.0	16.7	-0.69	15.6	19.5	-3.85
Emeka Okafor	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-2	20	15.0	19.0	-3.98	16.0	17.0	-0.94
Raja Bell	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	2	12	15.6	17.9	-2.39	16.0	17.2	-1.20
D.J. Augustin	33	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	14	-12	18.6	14.6	4.02	17.9	15.4	2.52
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	16	-16	18.8	14.7	4.15	17.1	15.8	1.31
Cartier Martin	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	17.9	15.8	2.09	16.6	16.2	0.36
DeSagana Diop	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.9	15.3	3.62	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Sean May	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	12.4	16.3	-3.91	22.2	15.9	6.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 90, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	93.7%