NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	6.1 [601]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +13.7%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1035]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -13.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	14	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	22	43%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	5	17%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	125%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	16	63%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.09	0.03	15	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	12	32%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	28.5	17.5	26.8	3.0	39.0	141.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +7.9%

ATL +18.0%

ATL +10.8%

ATL +10.5%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	95.7	110.4	104.2
season	15.1	14.9		102.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	15.0	17.3	14.3	15.7
ATL	12.6	12.2	15.5	19.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	62	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	15.9	15.2	0.72	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Kevin Seraphin	3	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-14	12	13.0	15.7	-2.75	6.3	14.9	-8.60
Drew Gooden	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-7	-2	16.8	15.0	1.79	13.7	15.2	-1.44
Ramon Sessions	77	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-6	-4	15.4	17.1	-1.71	14.9	13.4	1.52
Paul Pierce	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.9	17.8	-2.86	15.2	13.2	2.04
Otto Porter	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-6	-4	15.2	16.5	-1.27	14.8	14.4	0.49
Garrett Temple	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	16.9	15.2	1.67	12.9	15.4	-2.45
Bradley Beal	84	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.0	12.2	2.81
Nene	54	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-2	-12	16.3	14.8	1.50	15.3	13.8	1.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	77	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-4	24	14.7	14.7	-0.02	15.7	15.5	0.15
Pero Antic	39	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	12	-8	15.1	14.4	0.78	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Jeff Teague	69	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	14.7	14.6	0.15	14.9	17.5	-2.62
Paul Millsap	76	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	15.2	12.4	2.80	15.5	16.3	-0.88
Al Horford	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	1	14	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.7	15.6	0.06
DeMarre Carroll	77	75	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	14.7	14.6	0.11	15.6	15.8	-0.23
Kent Bazemore	37	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	14	-12	14.5	14.8	-0.25	15.7	15.6	0.07
Dennis Schroder	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	13	-10	14.7	14.6	0.07	17.5	14.9	2.62
Mike Muscala	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	16	-16	12.0	14.9	-2.94	17.2	15.5	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
TOR 81, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	94.1%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	94.1%