NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	5.5 [698]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +16.9%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.1 [1235]		LVP	Xavier McDaniel (NJN): -11.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.04	-0.01	22	63%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.03	0.10	18	72%	0.05	6	-0.13	10	100%	0.05
Kendall Gill	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	17	50%	-0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	24	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	11	77%	0.17	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	7	89%	0.14	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	21	47%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bill Wennington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	23.1	16.4	25.4	2.5	27.4	118.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.4%

NJN -10.8%

NJN -14.9%

CHI +24.4%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.6	108.6	119.4	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		101.7	110.5
opponent	16.1	14.9		99.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.1	15.6	18.6	15.7	16.5
CHI	13.9	15.7	14.8	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	72	74	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-14	18	16.0	18.2	-2.22	15.1	12.0	3.14
Tony Massenburg	68	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	15.4	19.3	-3.89	14.9	13.4	1.50
Kevin Edwards	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-3	-4	17.8	16.4	1.45	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Kendall Gill	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-12	14	15.8	19.0	-3.18	14.8	13.1	1.78
Eric Montross	59	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	16.8	15.9	0.84	15.1	13.2	1.90
Joe Kleine	28	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	17.7	15.9	1.78	13.2	15.0	-1.77
Xavier McDaniel	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	17.1	16.2	0.89	13.4	15.1	-1.66
Jim Jackson	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	16.4	16.8	-0.43	14.6	14.1	0.49
Kerry Kittles	47	45	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.05	-22	12	-34	18.2	14.7	3.47	12.9	16.0	-3.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	48	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	13.5	15.6	-2.14	15.9	17.2	-1.30
Jud Buechler	28	29	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	1	8	13.7	14.8	-1.17	17.1	16.2	0.87
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	14.6	14.1	0.54	16.6	15.9	0.73
Luc Longley	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	0	10	15.1	12.7	2.43	17.4	13.9	3.49
Randy Brown	23	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	2	6	13.1	14.9	-1.81	19.4	15.5	3.91
Bill Wennington	9	9	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	5	0	10.6	14.9	-4.36	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Steve Kerr	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	10	-10	14.5	14.4	0.12	15.6	17.5	-1.93
Ron Harper	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	6	-2	15.3	14.0	1.26	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Scottie Pippen	68	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	14.7	13.8	0.90	15.9	18.1	-2.25
Jason Caffey	49	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.3	13.6	1.63	16.4	16.5	-0.10
Robert Parish	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	13	-16	14.7	14.5	0.29	14.9	16.7	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 71, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.1%
SAC 88, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 76, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%