NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	71		Excitement	5.1 [804]		MVP	Othella Harrington (NYK): +12.7%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.1 [1109]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -23.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	14	66%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Eddy Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	31%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	5	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Ron Mercer	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.23	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	17	37%	-0.13	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.00	11	72%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	22	49%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	7	36%	0.01	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.01	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.4	16.4	22.7	2.5	35.5	132.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.2%

CHI -7.0%

NYK +18.4%

CHI -6.1%

NYK +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.6	82.6	88.6	102.3
season	15.6	15.9		96.3	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.6	16.4	18.0	15.8	17.2
NYK	13.8	17.9	17.1	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Guyton	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-11	15	13.6	17.9	-4.30	12.5	16.5	-3.99
Marcus Fizer	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-8	9	15.9	17.7	-1.77	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Kevin Ollie	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-7	7	17.3	17.1	0.19	18.3	14.6	3.67
Tyson Chandler	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-5	3	19.0	17.0	2.04	19.7	15.5	4.15
Eddy Curry	14	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	18.9	16.8	2.10	18.5	15.4	3.04
Charles Oakley	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	17.5	16.7	0.73	15.7	16.3	-0.52
Fred Hoiberg	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	18.6	16.6	1.95	17.9	15.2	2.71
Brad Miller	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-5	3	16.8	18.9	-2.10	15.4	18.5	-3.04
Ron Mercer	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-5	3	17.1	17.6	-0.48	15.5	19.3	-3.79
Greg Anthony	42	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	4	-15	18.3	16.1	2.17	15.3	16.6	-1.34
Trenton Hassell	71	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	16.7	19.2	-2.45	15.7	16.9	-1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	79	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-8	23	15.4	21.0	-5.63	17.1	17.4	-0.26
Latrell Sprewell	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	15.7	17.2	-1.42	16.7	20.1	-3.38
Allan Houston	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	15.7	17.3	-1.61	16.9	18.7	-1.78
Shandon Anderson	28	27	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-2	11	16.9	15.5	1.45	18.6	16.5	2.07
Othella Harrington	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	7	-7	17.5	13.3	4.22	18.1	15.6	2.44
Howard Eisley	24	21	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	2	3	19.1	14.7	4.37	18.2	16.8	1.41
Mark Jackson	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	5	-3	14.5	20.0	-5.43	16.8	18.2	-1.41
Felton Spencer	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	0	7	13.8	16.5	-2.63	18.6	16.9	1.71
Travis Knight	21	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	18	-29	16.7	15.7	0.95	14.6	18.0	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 96, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.1%
DAL 82, MEM 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%