NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	5.9 [643]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +18.1%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.1 [1066]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -14.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	71%	0.12	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	53%	0.00	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	11	22%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	13	76%	0.21	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	10	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.02	24	50%	0.11	1	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	32.2	15.5	26.5	2.3	28.7	131.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.6%

LAC -6.1%

LAC -24.4%

SAC +27.9%

SAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.6	99.0	109.3	104.4
season	15.2	15.3		103.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.9	12.2	12.2	15.9	14.2
SAC	13.1	15.5	15.5	18.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	12.6	14.6	-1.91	16.5	15.3	1.21
Shaun Livingston	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-13	16	12.6	14.9	-2.34	16.5	15.1	1.46
Zeljko Rebraca	28	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	12.7	14.7	-1.99	16.2	15.3	0.91
Corey Maggette	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-13	16	13.5	14.8	-1.31	16.9	14.1	2.86
Cuttino Mobley	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	3	-16	14.8	13.2	1.61	14.2	17.6	-3.33
Sam Cassell	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	14.4	13.2	1.21	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Chris Kaman	68	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.8	12.6	2.20	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Elton Brand	84	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	3	-16	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.3	17.2	-1.88
Vladimir Radmanovic	72	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	5	-20	14.7	12.6	2.11	15.2	16.3	-1.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	86	88	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-8	26	15.5	15.5	-0.02	14.4	12.2	2.14
Mike Bibby	90	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	15.5	16.3	-0.82	14.5	10.1	4.33
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	16.7	14.0	2.77	13.6	14.8	-1.21
Brad Miller	88	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	15.4	17.0	-1.62	14.3	12.7	1.65
Bonzi Wells	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	3	4	15.2	17.1	-1.86	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Kevin Martin	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	14	-18	16.5	14.9	1.51	13.0	14.8	-1.82
Kenny Thomas	42	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	7	-4	14.1	16.6	-2.56	15.1	13.4	1.74
Francisco Garcia	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	16.3	15.5	0.82	10.1	14.5	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHA 89, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.7%
UTA 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.4%