NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	5.1 [793]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +13.9%
LA Clippers	99		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	George Hill (UTA): -6.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	68%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	15	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Rodney Hood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	15	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	21	56%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	11	72%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	15	70%	0.22	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.3	26.3	17.5	25.3	2.8	37.3	143.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.1%

UTA -11.1%

LAC +13.5%

LAC +7.1%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	14.8	102.2	110.0	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		108.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	16.4	17.1	16.3	16.7
LAC	13.7	15.6	14.2	18.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-7	6	18.1	16.4	1.63	13.9	15.8	-1.95
Rodney Hood	44	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-11	14	17.6	15.9	1.70	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Shelvin Mack	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	19.0	16.0	2.94	13.5	16.1	-2.68
Boris Diaw	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	16.6	16.8	-0.13	16.3	14.5	1.86
Joe Johnson	52	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	16.7	16.7	-0.04	14.9	16.3	-1.33
Joe Ingles	63	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	16.3	17.8	-1.55	15.8	14.7	1.16
George Hill	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	16.0	19.0	-2.94	16.3	13.1	3.15
Derrick Favors	63	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	16.4	17.3	-0.90	15.7	15.0	0.65
Gordon Hayward	71	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.13	-17	9	-26	16.6	17.2	-0.64	15.6	14.8	0.81

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-7	22	15.7	14.5	1.27	16.6	17.2	-0.64
Blake Griffin	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	-2	12	16.1	13.4	2.61	16.6	17.3	-0.71
DeAndre Jordan	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	15.6	15.3	0.28	16.9	16.3	0.54
Chris Paul	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	15.8	14.7	1.11	16.0	18.5	-2.59
JJ Redick	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	0	8	15.3	15.9	-0.67	17.0	16.0	1.08
Jamal Crawford	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	14	-20	15.3	15.7	-0.38	16.4	17.1	-0.71
Raymond Felton	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	10	-12	14.3	16.1	-1.86	17.8	16.2	1.65
Marreese Speights	27	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.15	-4	12	-16	15.6	15.4	0.22	16.7	16.7	0.00
Paul Pierce	20	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	13.4	16.1	-2.61	17.3	16.6	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.4%
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	94.5%
LAL 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	94.5%