NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.9 [641]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +19.1%
Brooklyn Nets	107		Comeback	1.0 [1131]		LVP	Jabari Brown (LAL): -10.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.09	0.02	17	59%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	14	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	22	58%	0.19	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	14	62%	0.14	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.3	26.6	15.5	24.4	2.6	31.2	122.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +45.7%

LAL -1.3%

LAL -5.9%

BKN +7.1%

BKN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BKN	NBA	LAL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.1	102.1	110.3	104.2
season	15.5	15.3		101.9	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.7		105.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	14.6	16.5	13.6	15.5
BKN	15.1	12.6	14.8	14.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-12	16	15.9	15.2	0.75	14.8	13.9	0.91
Jordan Hill	57	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-12	16	14.6	16.6	-1.98	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Jabari Brown	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	14.9	16.5	-1.60	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Jordan Clarkson	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	15.2	16.2	-0.93	14.3	14.2	0.10
Wesley Johnson	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Wayne Ellington	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	4	-16	16.4	14.1	2.23	14.5	13.8	0.72
Ryan Kelly	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	1	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.13	14.4	13.8	0.63
Tarik Black	53	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.15	-13	5	-18	15.7	15.1	0.60	14.1	14.3	-0.20

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-11	30	14.2	14.2	0.08	15.6	15.2	0.39
Deron Williams	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-8	24	14.6	13.5	1.14	16.0	14.4	1.54
Brook Lopez	82	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-4	16	14.3	13.9	0.35	15.8	13.7	2.13
Alan Anderson	59	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	13.9	14.7	-0.71	14.1	17.6	-3.44
Joe Johnson	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-4	16	14.7	13.1	1.55	15.8	14.5	1.31
Earl Clark	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	14	-20	13.4	14.9	-1.45	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Jarrett Jack	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	16	-24	13.5	14.6	-1.14	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Mason Plumlee	44	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	12	-16	14.8	13.8	1.04	16.6	14.5	2.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	17	-26	13.7	14.4	-0.69	15.6	15.4	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.9%
UTA 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.5%
DET 109, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	94.5%