NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	5.0 [833]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): +9.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Comeback	1.0 [611]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	19	59%	0.03	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.03	-0.05	18	30%	-0.05	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.01	0.09	8	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.11	5	-0.11	10	60%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	38%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	30.2	14.6	28.1	1.7	29.3	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +50.8%

NOK +3.1%

UTA -10.2%

NOK +1.5%

NOK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOK	NBA	UTA	NOK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.5	15.4	91.2	101.1	104.5
season	15.9	16.0		107.4	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.4	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	18.0	15.5	14.2	15.9
NOK	13.6	16.2	14.5	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-16	21	14.2	16.0	-1.81	23.7	14.8	8.94
Rafael Araujo	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-10	9	16.5	15.8	0.78	16.4	15.3	1.03
Gordan Giricek	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-10	9	15.1	16.1	-0.95	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Carlos Boozer	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-5	-1	17.9	15.7	2.17	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Jarron Collins	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	16.7	15.6	1.08	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Ronnie Brewer	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.2	15.7	0.46	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Matt Harpring	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-6	1	15.8	16.0	-0.27	15.0	16.2	-1.14
Paul Millsap	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.3	17.4	-2.06	15.4	15.5	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	79	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	15.8	15.9	-0.07	15.7	13.9	1.75
Derek Fisher	81	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	16.1	14.1	1.97	15.8	12.2	3.58
Deron Williams	76	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	7	-25	15.9	15.5	0.39	15.1	17.1	-2.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-5	21	15.1	17.5	-2.43	15.9	15.8	0.08
Desmond Mason	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-6	23	15.1	16.8	-1.68	15.7	16.6	-0.98
Devin Brown	69	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-6	23	15.2	16.2	-1.02	15.7	16.4	-0.70
David West	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	2	7	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.5	17.0	-1.57
Rasual Butler	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	8	-5	16.0	14.4	1.60	17.1	13.2	3.84
Bobby Jackson	50	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	9	-7	15.3	15.6	-0.33	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Linton Johnson	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	15.3	15.5	-0.19	16.2	15.7	0.46
Hilton Armstrong	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	12	-13	17.9	15.3	2.60	18.1	15.7	2.48
Jannero Pargo	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	17	-23	16.2	15.2	1.02	16.4	15.7	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	96.0%
IND 79, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	95.4%