NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	5.6 [691]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +18.5%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.2 [1017]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -16.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	8	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	19	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	31%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
John Henson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	12	27%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.02	0.04	30	63%	0.26	3	-0.07	13	92%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	12	25%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	26.3	15.8	26.4	2.3	26.6	127.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +5.9%

CHI +8.6%

CHI +39.7%

MIL -5.3%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	19.1	15.1	102.4	110.5	104.2
season	14.5	15.5		100.5	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	15.9	15.1	13.0	14.5
CHI	16.4	18.4	22.0	20.3	19.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-9	10	16.8	14.2	2.59	18.2	19.3	-1.06
Zaza Pachulia	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-8	8	13.9	15.1	-1.16	20.1	18.2	1.91
Giannis Antetokounmpo	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-8	8	14.7	14.3	0.41	20.9	17.2	3.72
Johnny O'Bryant	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	2	-12	16.7	14.1	2.61	19.3	19.1	0.17
Kendall Marshall	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.7	14.3	1.43	18.9	19.2	-0.26
O.J. Mayo	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	15.0	13.9	1.07	18.6	19.7	-1.12
Jerryd Bayless	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	14.6	14.4	0.18	19.5	18.8	0.73
Brandon Knight	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	13.7	16.6	-2.88	18.8	20.0	-1.23
Khris Middleton	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	13.7	16.6	-2.88	18.8	20.0	-1.23
John Henson	33	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	1	-10	14.6	14.5	0.09	18.2	19.7	-1.55
Jared Dudley	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	14.8	13.9	0.89	18.6	20.2	-1.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	19.1	19.5	-0.47	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Tony Snell	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	18.3	20.9	-2.60	15.1	13.4	1.68
Kirk Hinrich	62	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	1	6	19.9	17.2	2.62	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Joakim Noah	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-4	16	18.9	19.3	-0.44	15.1	14.0	1.13
Pau Gasol	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	3	2	19.2	18.7	0.54	14.0	16.6	-2.66
E'Twaun Moore	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	18.7	19.2	-0.54	16.6	14.0	2.66
Taj Gibson	47	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	19.3	18.9	0.44	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Nikola Mirotic	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	19.1	19.2	-0.07	16.4	13.8	2.57
Aaron Brooks	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.33	-7	15	-22	19.4	18.9	0.47	13.7	15.4	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%
TOR 89, NOK 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	94.1%
SAC 96, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%